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Al-Nassr vs Neftchi Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · AFC Champions League EliteMon, 12 Oct 2026

Al-Nassr

9th in table · 3 pts

LWWWW

Mon, 12 Oct 202619:15

3 : 1

Full time

Neftchi

10th in table · 3 pts

DWLWL

Pre-match win probability

77.6%Al-Nassr12.2%Draw10.2%Neftchi

Our prediction

X2 · Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr vs Neftchi listed tip from the board.

Odds4.33
Confidence77.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Al-Nassr 77.6%
  • Draw 12.2%
  • Neftchi 10.2%

Season statistics

AFC Champions League Elite · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Al-NassrNeftchi
Goals scored (avg)
22
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.52
Wins
11
Played
23

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Al-Nassr5W 1D 2L in last 8
  • 29 OctAl-Nassr5 – 3Al KholoodW
  • 23 OctAl-Faisaly FC1 – 3Al-NassrW
  • 20 OctAl-Nassr1 – 0NEOMW
  • 9 OctAl-Nassr3 – 0Al DiriyahW
  • 15 SeptAl Ain4 – 0Al-NassrL
  • 12 SeptAl Khaleej Saihat1 – 1Al-NassrD
  • 9 SeptAl-Nassr2 – 1AbhaW
  • 5 SeptAl-Ittihad FC2 – 1Al-NassrL
Neftchi5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 26 OctNeftchi1 – 2Al-Ittihad FCL
  • 23 OctPakhtakor1 – 3NeftchiW
  • 20 OctNeftchi2 – 4LokomotivL
  • 16 OctKokand-19122 – 4NeftchiW
  • 7 OctNeftchi2 – 2XorazmD
  • 20 SeptLokomotiv0 – 1NeftchiW
  • 14 SeptNeftchi1 – 0Al Quwa Al JawiyaW
  • 9 SeptNeftchi2 – 1SurkhonW
  • 4 SeptNasaf6 – 2NeftchiL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.6% · 15
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals17.6% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
3.5 goals12.8% · 1.8312.8% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X80.5%
X219.5%

Match result

Al-Nassr1.18
Draw7.5
Neftchi9

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance80.5%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance19.5%
Odds4.33

Al-Nassr

Chance77.6%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance12.2%
Odds7.5

Neftchi

Chance10.2%
Odds9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 4.33

Al-NassrNeftchi
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence60%40%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

Trends

Trend · AFC Champions League Elite

Al-Nassr scored 2 per game in the last 8.

Trend · AFC Champions League Elite

Al-Nassr conceded 1.5 per game in the last 8.

Trend · AFC Champions League Elite

Failed to score in 1 of those 8.

Trend · AFC Champions League Elite

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 8.

Al-Nassr vs Neftchi: prediction & preview

World · AFC Champions League Elite · Mon, 12 Oct 2026

Al-Nassr meet Neftchi in the World, AFC Champions League Elite on 12 October 2026 at 19:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Al-Nassr at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Al-Nassr vs Neftchi FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Al-Nassr vs Neftchi match?

Kickoff is 19:15 on 12 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Al-Nassr vs Neftchi?

Al-Nassr is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.