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Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXFri, 25 Sept 2026

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Fri, 25 Sept 202602:00

1 : 3

Full time

CA La Paz

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

29%Alebrijes de Oaxaca26.2%Draw44.9%CA La Paz

Our prediction

CA La Paz

CA La Paz is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence44.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 29%
  • Draw 26.2%
  • CA La Paz 44.9%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

Alebrijes de OaxacaCA La Paz
Goals scored (avg)
–2.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alebrijes de Oaxaca0W 0D 0L in last 0
    CA La Paz6W 2D 1L in last 9
    • 31 OctCA La Paz3 – 0DoradosW
    • 25 OctCDS Tampico Madero1 – 3CA La PazW
    • 17 OctCA La Paz2 – 2TlaxcalaD
    • 10 OctTapatío2 – 4CA La PazW
    • 3 OctCA La Paz1 – 2Venados FCL
    • 19 SeptCA La Paz3 – 1Correcaminos UatW
    • 13 SeptLeones Negros UDG2 – 2CA La PazD
    • 5 SeptCA La Paz3 – 0Mineros de ZacatecasW
    • 28 AugCancún1 – 2CA La PazW
    H2H
    Head to headAlebrijes de Oaxaca 0W · 3D · CA La Paz 6W · 3.4 goals a game
    • 21 MarCA La Paz4 – 0Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    • 11 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 1CA La Paz
    • 5 AprAlebrijes de Oaxaca2 – 2CA La Paz
    • 19 OctCA La Paz2 – 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    • 21 AprCA La Paz3 – 2Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    • 23 MarCA La Paz2 – 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    • 20 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca2 – 2CA La Paz
    • 25 MarAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 2CA La Paz
    • 30 SeptCA La Paz2 – 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals58.1% · 1.6241.9% · 2.25

    Double chance

    1X44.3%
    X255.7%

    Match result

    Alebrijes de Oaxaca3.25
    Draw3.6
    CA La Paz2.1

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance44.3%
    Odds1.67

    X2

    Chance55.7%
    Odds1.33

    Alebrijes de Oaxaca

    Chance29%
    Odds3.25

    Draw

    Chance26.2%
    Odds3.6

    CA La Paz

    Chance44.9%
    Odds2.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: CA La Paz at 2.1

    Alebrijes de OaxacaCA La Paz
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack28%72%
    Defence36%64%
    Goals model28%72%
    Head-to-head17%83%
    Overall39%61%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    CA La Paz scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    CA La Paz conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Over 2.5 goals in 9 of those 9.

    Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz: prediction & preview

    Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

    Alebrijes de Oaxaca meet CA La Paz in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 25 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is CA La Paz at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz match?

    Kickoff is 02:00 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

    CA La Paz is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.