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Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

9th in table · 22 pts

LWWWW

Fri, 14 Aug 202602:00

1 : 0

Full time

Tepatitlán

16th in table · 7 pts

WDLLL

Pre-match win probability

48.5%Alebrijes de Oaxaca26.3%Draw25.2%Tepatitlán

Our prediction

1 · Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence48.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 48.5%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Tepatitlán 25.2%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Alebrijes de OaxacaTepatitlán
Goals scored (avg)
1.10.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.83.2
Wins
72
Played
1514

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alebrijes de Oaxaca5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 30 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 0Mineros de ZacatecasW
  • 23 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca2 – 1Cruz Azul HidalgoW
  • 18 OctLeones Negros UDG1 – 2Alebrijes de OaxacaW
  • 9 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca2 – 1Correcaminos UatW
  • 4 OctPiratas4 – 0Alebrijes de OaxacaL
  • 25 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 3CA La PazL
  • 20 SeptCancún3 – 0Alebrijes de OaxacaL
  • 11 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 0DurangoW
  • 6 SeptMonarcas4 – 1Alebrijes de OaxacaL
  • 28 AugAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 1TapatíoD
Tepatitlán1W 1D 7L in last 9
  • 24 OctTepatitlán0 – 4CancúnL
  • 18 OctPiratas3 – 0TepatitlánL
  • 14 OctTapatío4 – 1TepatitlánL
  • 10 OctTepatitlán1 – 1MonarcasD
  • 3 OctTepatitlán3 – 1CDS Tampico MaderoW
  • 19 SeptTepatitlán0 – 1Mineros de ZacatecasL
  • 13 SeptVenados FC5 – 0TepatitlánL
  • 4 SeptTepatitlán1 – 4DoradosL
  • 29 AugCruz Azul Hidalgo6 – 0TepatitlánL
H2H
Head to headAlebrijes de Oaxaca 2W · 2D · Tepatitlán 5W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 4 AprTepatitlán2 – 0Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  • 25 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 1Tepatitlán
  • 12 AprTepatitlán4 – 0Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  • 27 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca0 – 2Tepatitlán
  • 27 MarAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 0Tepatitlán
  • 26 OctTepatitlán3 – 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  • 9 FebAlebrijes de Oaxaca0 – 3Tepatitlán
  • 2 SeptTepatitlán1 – 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  • 2 FebTepatitlán1 – 2Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals51.3% · 1.8548.7% · 1.95

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Alebrijes de Oaxaca1.95
Draw3.6
Tepatitlán3.75

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Chance48.5%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Tepatitlán

Chance25.2%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.95

Alebrijes de OaxacaTepatitlán
Recent form80%20%
Attack61%39%
Defence92%8%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall66%34%

Trends

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Alebrijes de Oaxaca scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Alebrijes de Oaxaca conceded 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Fri, 14 Aug 2026

Alebrijes de Oaxaca meet Tepatitlán in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 14 August 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alebrijes de Oaxaca at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán match?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 14 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.