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Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónFri, 4 Sept 2026

Alianza Atletico

7th in table · 49 pts

WLLWW

Fri, 4 Sept 202621:15

3 : 2

Full time

UTC Cajamarca

18th in table · 18 pts

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

58.8%Alianza Atletico23.7%Draw17.6%UTC Cajamarca

Our prediction

1 · Alianza Atletico

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence58.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alianza Atletico 58.8%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • UTC Cajamarca 17.6%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
22
Wins
145
Played
3231

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alianza Atletico5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctAlianza Atletico1 – 0Juan Pablo II CollegeW
  • 28 OctAlianza Atletico3 – 2Deportivo GarcilasoW
  • 24 OctSport Huancayo4 – 1Alianza AtleticoL
  • 18 OctAlianza Atletico1 – 4UniversitarioL
  • 11 OctSport Boys1 – 3Alianza AtleticoW
  • 6 OctAlianza Atletico3 – 0Sport BoysW
  • 27 SeptSport Boys3 – 0Alianza AtleticoL
  • 18 SeptAlianza Atletico2 – 1Comerciantes UnidosW
  • 13 SeptAtletico Grau3 – 1Alianza AtleticoL
UTC Cajamarca1W 1D 7L in last 9
  • 28 OctFC Cajamarca1 – 3UTC CajamarcaW
  • 23 OctUTC Cajamarca1 – 2FBC MelgarL
  • 19 OctCienciano1 – 0UTC CajamarcaL
  • 11 OctUTC Cajamarca0 – 1Sporting CristalL
  • 20 SeptSport Huancayo3 – 2UTC CajamarcaL
  • 11 SeptUTC Cajamarca1 – 2Juan Pablo II CollegeL
  • 29 AugUTC Cajamarca2 – 4UniversitarioL
  • 25 AugAlianza Atletico1 – 1UTC CajamarcaD
  • 22 AugUTC Cajamarca1 – 3Comerciantes UnidosL
H2H
Head to headAlianza Atletico 3W · 5D · UTC Cajamarca 1W · 1.9 goals a game
  • 25 AugAlianza Atletico1 – 1UTC Cajamarca
  • 22 MarUTC Cajamarca1 – 1Alianza Atletico
  • 11 AugAlianza Atletico2 – 0UTC Cajamarca
  • 8 MarUTC Cajamarca0 – 0Alianza Atletico
  • 1 AugUTC Cajamarca1 – 1Alianza Atletico
  • 16 FebAlianza Atletico2 – 0UTC Cajamarca
  • 14 JulUTC Cajamarca1 – 1Alianza Atletico
  • 12 FebAlianza Atletico2 – 0UTC Cajamarca
  • 18 JulUTC Cajamarca2 – 1Alianza Atletico

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X65.8%
X234.2%

Match result

Alianza Atletico1.57
Draw3.9
UTC Cajamarca5.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

Alianza Atletico

Chance58.8%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds3.9

UTC Cajamarca

Chance17.6%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.57

Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
Recent form79%21%
Attack59%41%
Defence50%50%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Alianza Atletico scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Alianza Atletico conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Alianza Atletico meet UTC Cajamarca in the Peru, Primera División on 4 September 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alianza Atletico at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca match?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 4 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?

Alianza Atletico is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.