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Alianza Lima vs Universitario Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónSun, 13 Sept 2026

Alianza Lima

1st in table · 65 pts

DLDWD

Sun, 13 Sept 202602:00

1 : 2

Full time

Universitario

2nd in table · 56 pts

DLDWW

Pre-match win probability

40.7%Alianza Lima32.5%Draw26.8%Universitario

Our prediction

X2 · Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima vs Universitario listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence40.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alianza Lima 40.7%
  • Draw 32.5%
  • Universitario 26.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Alianza LimaUniversitario
Goals scored (avg)
–2.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.6
Wins
1916
Played
3130

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alianza Lima0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Universitario5W 3D 1L in last 9
    • 25 OctUniversitario3 – 0Juan Pablo II CollegeW
    • 18 OctAlianza Atletico1 – 4UniversitarioW
    • 11 OctUniversitario2 – 2FBC MelgarD
    • 20 SeptDeportivo Garcilaso4 – 0UniversitarioL
    • 6 SeptUniversitario2 – 2Comerciantes UnidosD
    • 29 AugUTC Cajamarca2 – 4UniversitarioW
    • 24 AugUniversitario3 – 0Club Deportivo Los ChankasW
    • 16 AugFC Cajamarca2 – 3UniversitarioW
    • 8 AugUniversitario1 – 1Sporting CristalD
    H2H
    Head to headAlianza Lima 1W · 4D · Universitario 4W · 1.6 goals a game
    • 5 AprUniversitario1 – 0Alianza Lima
    • 24 AugUniversitario0 – 0Alianza Lima
    • 6 AprAlianza Lima1 – 1Universitario
    • 27 JulUniversitario2 – 1Alianza Lima
    • 11 FebAlianza Lima0 – 1Universitario
    • 9 NovAlianza Lima0 – 2Universitario
    • 5 NovUniversitario1 – 1Alianza Lima
    • 23 JulAlianza Lima0 – 0Universitario
    • 19 FebUniversitario1 – 2Alianza Lima

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
    1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
    2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
    3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X55.1%
    X244.9%

    Match result

    Alianza Lima2.3
    Draw2.88
    Universitario3.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance55.1%
    Odds1.28

    X2

    Chance44.9%
    Odds1.57

    Alianza Lima

    Chance40.7%
    Odds2.3

    Draw

    Chance32.5%
    Odds2.88

    Universitario

    Chance26.8%
    Odds3.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 1.57

    Alianza LimaUniversitario
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack29%71%
    Defence42%58%
    Goals model29%71%
    Head-to-head33%67%
    Overall60%40%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Universitario scored 2.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Universitario conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Alianza Lima vs Universitario: prediction & preview

    Peru · Primera División · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

    Alianza Lima meet Universitario in the Peru, Primera División on 13 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alianza Lima at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Alianza Lima vs Universitario FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Alianza Lima vs Universitario match?

    Kickoff is 02:00 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Alianza Lima vs Universitario?

    Alianza Lima is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.