Get Premium

Alverca vs Arouca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026

Alverca

DWWWL

Sat, 24 Oct 202618:00

0 : 1

Full time

Arouca

DWDLD

Pre-match win probability

46.4%Alverca28%Draw25.7%Arouca

Our prediction

1X · Alverca

Alverca vs Arouca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alverca 46.4%
  • Draw 28%
  • Arouca 25.7%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlvercaArouca

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alverca0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Arouca0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headAlverca 1W · 0D · Arouca 1W · 2 goals a game
      • 24 AprAlverca2 – 1Arouca
      • 14 DecArouca1 – 0Alverca

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
      1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
      2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
      3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

      Both teams to score

      Yes54.7%
      No45.3%

      Double chance

      1X57.5%
      X242.5%

      Match result

      Alverca2.05
      Draw3.4
      Arouca3.7

      Both teams to score

      Yes54.7% · 1.7
      No45.3% · 2.05

      1X

      Chance57.5%
      Odds1.28

      X2

      Chance42.5%
      Odds1.73

      Alverca

      Chance46.4%
      Odds2.05

      Draw

      Chance28%
      Odds3.4

      Arouca

      Chance25.7%
      Odds3.7

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: 1X at 1.28

      AlvercaArouca
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head50%50%
      Overall64%36%

      Alverca vs Arouca: prediction & preview

      Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

      Alverca meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alverca at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Alverca vs Arouca FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Alverca vs Arouca match?

      Kickoff is 18:00 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Alverca vs Arouca?

      Alverca is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.