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America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera AMon, 12 Oct 2026

America de Cali

4th in table · 33 pts

WWDLW

Mon, 12 Oct 202602:15

1 : 2

Full time

Independiente Medellin

11th in table · 26 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

53.9%America de Cali26.2%Draw19.9%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

1X · America de Cali

America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence53.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • America de Cali 53.9%
  • Draw 26.2%
  • Independiente Medellin 19.9%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

America de CaliIndependiente Medellin
Goals scored (avg)
–1.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–2
Wins
107
Played
1919

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

America de Cali0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Independiente Medellin1W 2D 6L in last 9
    • 29 OctInternacional de Bogota3 – 1Independiente MedellinL
    • 26 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 1Independiente MedellinL
    • 18 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 2Once CaldasL
    • 15 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 2Independiente MedellinL
    • 6 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 1Santa FeL
    • 30 SeptIndependiente Medellin2 – 2MillonariosD
    • 27 SeptJunior2 – 0Independiente MedellinL
    • 23 SeptIndependiente Medellin2 – 1JaguaresW
    • 18 SeptBucaramanga2 – 2Independiente MedellinD
    H2H
    Head to headAmerica de Cali 4W · 3D · Independiente Medellin 2W · 2.6 goals a game
    • 31 MarIndependiente Medellin2 – 1America de Cali
    • 2 DecIndependiente Medellin1 – 1America de Cali
    • 28 NovAmerica de Cali2 – 1Independiente Medellin
    • 14 NovIndependiente Medellin3 – 0America de Cali
    • 20 JunAmerica de Cali1 – 1Independiente Medellin
    • 1 JunIndependiente Medellin1 – 1America de Cali
    • 25 MayAmerica de Cali2 – 0Independiente Medellin
    • 16 OctAmerica de Cali1 – 0Independiente Medellin
    • 2 AprIndependiente Medellin1 – 4America de Cali

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
    3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X62.9%
    X237.1%

    Match result

    America de Cali1.75
    Draw3.6
    Independiente Medellin4.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.83
    No50% · 1.83

    1X

    Chance62.9%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance37.1%
    Odds2

    America de Cali

    Chance53.9%
    Odds1.75

    Draw

    Chance26.2%
    Odds3.6

    Independiente Medellin

    Chance19.9%
    Odds4.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.18

    America de CaliIndependiente Medellin
    Recent form17%83%
    Attack48%52%
    Defence50%50%
    Goals model48%52%
    Head-to-head61%39%
    Overall73%27%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera A

    Independiente Medellin scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera A

    Independiente Medellin conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera A

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Primera A

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

    America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

    Colombia · Primera A · Mon, 12 Oct 2026

    America de Cali meet Independiente Medellin in the Colombia, Primera A on 12 October 2026 at 02:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is America de Cali at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin match?

    Kickoff is 02:15 on 12 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

    America de Cali is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.