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AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AMon, 24 Aug 2026

AS Roma

3rd in table · 24 pts

WWDWW

Mon, 24 Aug 202619:45

4 : 0

Full time

Fiorentina

17th in table · 5 pts

DLLLD

Pre-match win probability

55.4%AS Roma24.8%Draw19.8%Fiorentina

Our prediction

1X · AS Roma

AS Roma vs Fiorentina listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AS Roma 55.4%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Fiorentina 19.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AS RomaFiorentina
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.9
Wins
71
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AS Roma5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctUdinese2 – 5AS RomaW
  • 27 OctAS Roma4 – 2CagliariW
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctAS Roma4 – 0Slovan BratislavaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaW
  • 14 OctAS Roma3 – 4Real MadridL
  • 11 OctComo0 – 0AS RomaD
  • 19 SeptAS Roma2 – 2InterD
  • 14 SeptTorino0 – 2AS RomaW
  • 10 SeptFenerbahçe1 – 1AS RomaD
Fiorentina2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 29 OctFiorentina2 – 2AtalantaD
  • 25 OctInter2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 18 OctFiorentina1 – 3ComoL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 15 SeptFiorentina3 – 0PisaW
  • 11 SeptVenezia2 – 4FiorentinaW
  • 5 SeptFiorentina1 – 2TorinoL
  • 29 AugFiorentina0 – 3FrosinoneL
H2H
Head to headAS Roma 4W · 2D · Fiorentina 3W · 3 goals a game
  • 4 MayAS Roma4 – 0Fiorentina
  • 5 OctFiorentina1 – 2AS Roma
  • 4 MayAS Roma1 – 0Fiorentina
  • 27 OctFiorentina5 – 1AS Roma
  • 10 MarFiorentina2 – 2AS Roma
  • 10 DecAS Roma1 – 1Fiorentina
  • 27 MayFiorentina2 – 1AS Roma
  • 15 JanAS Roma2 – 0Fiorentina
  • 9 MayFiorentina2 – 0AS Roma

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

AS Roma1.7
Draw3.8
Fiorentina4.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

AS Roma

Chance55.4%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.8

Fiorentina

Chance19.8%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.7

AS RomaFiorentina
Recent form70%30%
Attack62%38%
Defence59%41%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

AS Roma scored 2.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

AS Roma conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

AS Roma vs Fiorentina: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Mon, 24 Aug 2026

AS Roma meet Fiorentina in the Italy, Serie A on 24 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AS Roma at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AS Roma vs Fiorentina FAQs

4 questions

What time is the AS Roma vs Fiorentina match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 24 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

AS Roma is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.