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Ascoli vs Avellino Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSat, 19 Sept 2026

Ascoli

3rd in table · 18 pts

LDDWW

Sat, 19 Sept 202618:30

3 : 1

Full time

Avellino

10th in table · 12 pts

DWDLD

Pre-match win probability

44.7%Ascoli28.5%Draw26.8%Avellino

Our prediction

1X · Ascoli

Ascoli vs Avellino listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence44.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ascoli 44.7%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Avellino 26.8%

Season statistics

Serie B · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AscoliAvellino
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.60.9
Wins
53
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ascoli4W 3D 1L in last 8
  • 27 OctAscoli2 – 0SampdoriaW
  • 24 OctCatanzaro1 – 6AscoliW
  • 17 OctAscoli1 – 1EmpoliD
  • 10 OctSudtirol0 – 0AscoliD
  • 12 SeptPadova1 – 0AscoliL
  • 5 SeptAscoli1 – 0BeneventoW
  • 29 AugAscoli1 – 1CarrareseD
  • 23 AugHellas Verona1 – 2AscoliW
Avellino3W 3D 2L in last 8
  • 27 OctVirtus Entella1 – 1AvellinoD
  • 24 OctAvellino0 – 1PadovaL
  • 18 OctCesena1 – 1AvellinoD
  • 9 OctAvellino4 – 1SampdoriaW
  • 13 SeptAvellino1 – 1PalermoD
  • 6 SeptModena0 – 1AvellinoW
  • 29 AugAvellino3 – 0Vicenza VirtusW
  • 22 AugAvellino1 – 2ArezzoL
H2H
Head to headAscoli 2W · 2D · Avellino 0W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 5 MayAscoli1 – 1Avellino
  • 16 DecAvellino1 – 1Ascoli
  • 25 AprAscoli2 – 0Avellino
  • 3 DecAvellino1 – 2Ascoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Ascoli2.1
Draw3.3
Avellino3.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Ascoli

Chance44.7%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

Avellino

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.3

AscoliAvellino
Recent form56%44%
Attack52%48%
Defence53%47%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall63%37%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Ascoli scored 1.6 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Serie B

Ascoli conceded 0.6 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 8.

Ascoli vs Avellino: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Ascoli meet Avellino in the Italy, Serie B on 19 September 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ascoli at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ascoli vs Avellino FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ascoli vs Avellino match?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ascoli vs Avellino?

Ascoli is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.