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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueMon, 31 Aug 2026

Aston Villa

9th in table · 12 pts

WWWLD

Mon, 31 Aug 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Arsenal

2nd in table · 21 pts

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

15.1%Aston Villa21.8%Draw63%Arsenal

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Arsenal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence63%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 15.1%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Arsenal 63%

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaArsenal
Goals scored (avg)
2.41.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.20.9
Wins
37
Played
98

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aston Villa7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctAston Villa1 – 1FulhamD
  • 28 OctBournemouth3 – 0Aston VillaL
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityW
  • 21 OctAston Villa3 – 1VikingW
  • 17 OctNewcastle0 – 1Aston VillaW
  • 14 OctAston Villa6 – 0FenerbahçeW
  • 10 OctAston Villa2 – 2BrentfordD
  • 2 OctSevilla1 – 3Aston VillaW
  • 19 SeptTottenham2 – 3Aston VillaW
  • 16 SeptCoventry1 – 3Aston VillaW
Arsenal7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovLiverpool0 – 1ArsenalW
  • 27 OctFleetwood Town1 – 1ArsenalD
  • 24 OctArsenal2 – 0EvertonW
  • 21 OctBayern München2 – 2ArsenalD
  • 18 OctNottingham Forest0 – 1ArsenalW
  • 13 OctArsenal3 – 0LilleW
  • 10 OctArsenal2 – 1LeedsW
  • 19 SeptBrighton3 – 0ArsenalL
  • 15 SeptIpswich2 – 4ArsenalW
  • 12 SeptSunderland0 – 2ArsenalW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X30.9%
X269.1%

Match result

Aston Villa6.25
Draw4.33
Arsenal1.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance30.9%
Odds2.5

X2

Chance69.1%
Odds1.12

Aston Villa

Chance15.1%
Odds6.25

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Arsenal

Chance63%
Odds1.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.67

Aston VillaArsenal
Recent form50%50%
Attack57%43%
Defence46%54%
Goals model57%43%
Overall19%81%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Aston Villa scored 2.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Aston Villa conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Mon, 31 Aug 2026

Aston Villa meet Arsenal in the England, Premier League on 31 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Aston Villa vs Arsenal match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 31 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 63%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.