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Atalanta vs Frosinone Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 25 Oct 2026

Atalanta

12th in table · 11 pts

LLWWL

Sun, 25 Oct 202615:00

4 : 4

Full time

Frosinone

6th in table · 20 pts

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

50.8%Atalanta22.4%Draw26.8%Frosinone

Our prediction

2 · Atalanta

Atalanta vs Frosinone listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence50.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atalanta 50.8%
  • Draw 22.4%
  • Frosinone 26.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AtalantaFrosinone
Goals scored (avg)
–2.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.2
Wins
36
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atalanta0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Frosinone6W 2D 1L in last 9
    • 1 NovFrosinone2 – 0TorinoW
    • 29 OctFrosinone5 – 1LecceW
    • 16 OctFrosinone4 – 2SassuoloW
    • 10 OctNapoli3 – 0FrosinoneL
    • 2 OctFrosinone2 – 1BeneventoW
    • 20 SeptFrosinone2 – 0ComoW
    • 12 SeptGenoa1 – 1FrosinoneD
    • 6 SeptFrosinone3 – 2VeneziaW
    • 2 SeptSassuolo1 – 1FrosinoneD
    H2H
    Head to headAtalanta 4W · 1D · Frosinone 1W · 3.2 goals a game
    • 15 JanAtalanta5 – 0Frosinone
    • 26 AugFrosinone2 – 1Atalanta
    • 20 JanFrosinone0 – 5Atalanta
    • 20 AugAtalanta4 – 0Frosinone
    • 23 JanFrosinone0 – 0Atalanta
    • 30 AugAtalanta2 – 0Frosinone

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.3% · 19
    1.5 goals21.5% · 1.113.7% · 6.5
    2.5 goals17% · 1.48% · 3
    3.5 goals11.9% · 213.3% · 1.8

    Both teams to score

    Yes66.3%
    No33.7%

    Double chance

    1X60.9%
    X239.1%

    Match result

    Atalanta1.85
    Draw4.2
    Frosinone3.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes66.3% · 1.4
    No33.7% · 2.75

    1X

    Chance60.9%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance39.1%
    Odds1.95

    Atalanta

    Chance50.8%
    Odds1.85

    Draw

    Chance22.4%
    Odds4.2

    Frosinone

    Chance26.8%
    Odds3.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 3.5

    AtalantaFrosinone
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack31%69%
    Defence36%64%
    Goals model31%69%
    Head-to-head75%25%
    Overall65%35%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Frosinone scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Frosinone conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Atalanta vs Frosinone: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie A · Sun, 25 Oct 2026

    Atalanta meet Frosinone in the Italy, Serie A on 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 68.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Atalanta vs Frosinone FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Atalanta vs Frosinone match?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Atalanta vs Frosinone?

    Atalanta is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 3.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction, H2H and stats