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Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 5 Sept 2026

Athletic Club

7th in table · 12 pts

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:15

3 : 0

Full time

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 28 pts

Pre-match win probability

31.4%Athletic Club28.5%Draw40.1%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence40.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Athletic Club 31.4%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Atletico Madrid 40.1%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
Wins
39
Played
911

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Athletic Club0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Atletico Madrid0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headAthletic Club 4W · 0D · Atletico Madrid 5W · 2.1 goals a game
      • 25 AprAtletico Madrid3 – 2Athletic Club
      • 6 DecAthletic Club1 – 0Atletico Madrid
      • 1 MarAtletico Madrid1 – 0Athletic Club
      • 31 AugAthletic Club0 – 1Atletico Madrid
      • 27 AprAtletico Madrid3 – 1Athletic Club
      • 29 FebAthletic Club3 – 0Atletico Madrid
      • 7 FebAtletico Madrid0 – 1Athletic Club
      • 16 DecAthletic Club2 – 0Atletico Madrid
      • 19 FebAtletico Madrid1 – 0Athletic Club

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
      1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
      2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
      3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

      Both teams to score

      Yes54.7%
      No45.3%

      Double chance

      1X46.4%
      X253.6%

      Match result

      Athletic Club3
      Draw3.3
      Atletico Madrid2.35

      Both teams to score

      Yes54.7% · 1.7
      No45.3% · 2.05

      1X

      Chance46.4%
      Odds1.57

      X2

      Chance53.6%
      Odds1.36

      Athletic Club

      Chance31.4%
      Odds3

      Draw

      Chance28.5%
      Odds3.3

      Atletico Madrid

      Chance40.1%
      Odds2.35

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Atletico Madrid at 2.35

      Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head44%56%
      Overall44%56%

      Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

      Spain · La Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

      Athletic Club meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 5 September 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid match?

      Kickoff is 15:15 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?

      Atletico Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.1%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.