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Athletic Club vs Vila Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BSat, 5 Sept 2026

Athletic Club

15th in table · 44 pts

LLDDL

Sat, 5 Sept 202600:30

5 : 0

Full time

Vila Nova

3rd in table · 63 pts

DWDLD

Pre-match win probability

34.7%Athletic Club31.2%Draw34.1%Vila Nova

Our prediction

2 · Athletic Club

Athletic Club vs Vila Nova listed tip from the board.

Odds2.75
Confidence34.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Athletic Club 34.7%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Vila Nova 34.1%

Season statistics

Serie B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Athletic ClubVila Nova
Goals scored (avg)
11.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.40.8
Wins
1018
Played
3536

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Athletic Club1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 23 OctOperario-PR1 – 0Athletic ClubL
  • 18 OctAvai0 – 0Athletic ClubD
  • 13 OctAthletic Club2 – 2LondrinaD
  • 7 OctGoias2 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 2 OctAthletic Club1 – 2Sport RecifeL
  • 27 SeptFortaleza EC2 – 2Athletic ClubD
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club1 – 1Botafogo SPD
  • 13 SeptJuventude0 – 2Athletic ClubW
  • 9 SeptCuiaba3 – 0Athletic ClubL
Vila Nova5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctVila Nova2 – 2JuventudeD
  • 24 OctSão Bernardo3 – 2Vila NovaL
  • 18 OctVila Nova2 – 2NovorizontinoD
  • 11 OctNautico Recife0 – 2Vila NovaW
  • 8 OctVila Nova0 – 0CuiabaD
  • 3 OctBotafogo SP0 – 1Vila NovaW
  • 26 SeptVila Nova2 – 0LondrinaW
  • 18 SeptVila Nova1 – 0America MineiroW
  • 15 SeptAvai1 – 1Vila NovaD
  • 10 SeptVila Nova2 – 0GoiasW
H2H
Head to headAthletic Club 0W · 2D · Vila Nova 1W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 4 MayVila Nova1 – 1Athletic Club
  • 9 SeptVila Nova1 – 1Athletic Club
  • 7 MayAthletic Club0 – 1Vila Nova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.1% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Athletic Club2.7
Draw3
Vila Nova2.75

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Athletic Club

Chance34.7%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance31.2%
Odds3

Vila Nova

Chance34.1%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.75

Athletic ClubVila Nova
Recent form27%73%
Attack40%60%
Defence42%58%
Goals model40%60%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Athletic Club scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Athletic Club conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Athletic Club vs Vila Nova: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Athletic Club meet Vila Nova in the Brazil, Serie B on 5 September 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Athletic Club at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Athletic Club vs Vila Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Athletic Club vs Vila Nova match?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Athletic Club vs Vila Nova?

Athletic Club is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.