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Atlante FC vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 16 Aug 2026

Atlante FC

16th in table · 14 pts

LLWLL

Sun, 16 Aug 202600:00

0 : 0

Full time

Toluca

5th in table · 24 pts

LDDDD

Pre-match win probability

16.4%Atlante FC23.6%Draw60%Toluca

Our prediction

X · Atlante FC

Atlante FC vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds4
Confidence60%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atlante FC 16.4%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • Toluca 60%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atlante FCToluca
Goals scored (avg)
1.12
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.9
Wins
36
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atlante FC2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 1 NovGuadalajara Chivas4 – 2Atlante FCL
  • 24 OctAtlante FC0 – 1Atletico San LuisL
  • 21 OctFC Juarez0 – 1Atlante FCW
  • 17 OctAtlante FC1 – 2U.N.A.M. - PumasL
  • 11 OctClub Queretaro2 – 0Atlante FCL
  • 26 SeptAtlante FC4 – 2MonterreyW
  • 19 SeptPuebla1 – 1Atlante FCD
  • 12 SeptAtlante FC0 – 3CF PachucaL
  • 6 SeptAtlas1 – 1Atlante FCD
  • 29 AugAtlante FC1 – 1LeonD
Toluca2W 5D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovClub America2 – 2TolucaD
  • 25 OctLeon1 – 1TolucaD
  • 22 OctToluca2 – 2Club TijuanaD
  • 18 OctToluca1 – 1Atletico San LuisD
  • 10 OctTigres UANL3 – 2TolucaL
  • 4 OctMonterrey2 – 1TolucaL
  • 26 SeptCruz Azul3 – 3TolucaD
  • 21 SeptToluca2 – 3Santos LagunaL
  • 16 SeptPuebla0 – 1TolucaW
  • 13 SeptToluca5 – 2AtlasW
H2H
Head to headAtlante FC 0W · 1D · Toluca 0W · 6 goals a game
  • 10 JulAtlante FC3 – 3Toluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.8% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X32%
X268%

Match result

Atlante FC5.75
Draw4
Toluca1.57

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance32%
Odds2.38

X2

Chance68%
Odds1.12

Atlante FC

Chance16.4%
Odds5.75

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds4

Toluca

Chance60%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 4

Atlante FCToluca
Recent form45%55%
Attack35%65%
Defence54%46%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall21%79%

Trends

Trend · Liga MX

Atlante FC scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Atlante FC conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Atlante FC vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Atlante FC meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atlante FC vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atlante FC vs Toluca match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atlante FC vs Toluca?

Toluca is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 60%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.