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Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Atlético Madrid II

14th in table · 11 pts

LDLDD

Fri, 25 Sept 202618:00

1 : 3

Full time

Villarreal II

1st in table · 21 pts

LDWWD

Pre-match win probability

37.7%Atlético Madrid II28%Draw34.3%Villarreal II

Our prediction

1X · Atlético Madrid II

Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence37.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atlético Madrid II 37.7%
  • Draw 28%
  • Villarreal II 34.3%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atlético Madrid IIVillarreal II
Goals scored (avg)
1.92.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.2
Wins
26
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atlético Madrid II2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 30 OctAtlético Madrid II1 – 1AlcorconD
  • 25 OctAtlético Madrid II1 – 1Real JaénD
  • 18 OctGimnastic2 – 1Atlético Madrid IIL
  • 11 OctAtlético Madrid II4 – 4ZaragozaD
  • 2 OctReal Madrid II3 – 2Atlético Madrid IIL
  • 19 SeptHuesca0 – 0Atlético Madrid IID
  • 13 SeptAtlético Madrid II4 – 0Real MurciaW
  • 6 SeptHércules0 – 2Atlético Madrid IIW
  • 30 AugAtlético Madrid II2 – 2Juventud TorremolinosD
Villarreal II5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctZaragoza2 – 2Villarreal IID
  • 25 OctVillarreal II4 – 1FC CartagenaW
  • 17 OctVillarreal II2 – 0TeruelW
  • 10 OctReal Jaén3 – 3Villarreal IID
  • 4 OctVillarreal II0 – 1IbizaL
  • 19 SeptVillarreal II2 – 2AntequeraD
  • 13 SeptHuesca0 – 3Villarreal IIW
  • 4 SeptVillarreal II2 – 1AlgecirasW
  • 29 AugRayo Majadahonda1 – 2Villarreal IIW
H2H
Head to headAtlético Madrid II 2W · 1D · Villarreal II 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 24 JanAtlético Madrid II1 – 1Villarreal II
  • 3 OctVillarreal II1 – 3Atlético Madrid II
  • 21 FebAtlético Madrid II1 – 0Villarreal II
  • 24 NovVillarreal II3 – 2Atlético Madrid II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.4% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Atlético Madrid II2.38
Draw3.2
Villarreal II2.62

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Atlético Madrid II

Chance37.7%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.2

Villarreal II

Chance34.3%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.4

Atlético Madrid IIVillarreal II
Recent form38%62%
Attack46%54%
Defence47%53%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Atlético Madrid II scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Atlético Madrid II conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Atlético Madrid II meet Villarreal II in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 25 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atlético Madrid II at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?

Atlético Madrid II is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.