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Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 13 Oct 2026

Atletico Madrid

16th in table · 4 pts

WWDWW

Tue, 13 Oct 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

Manchester United

21st in table · 3 pts

DDLLL

Pre-match win probability

52.6%Atletico Madrid24.3%Draw23.1%Manchester United

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 52.6%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Manchester United 23.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridManchester United
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.8
Wins
11
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Madrid7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridW
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaW
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridW
  • 9 SeptLiverpool2 – 1Atletico MadridL
Manchester United1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthL
  • 21 OctComo4 – 1Manchester UnitedL
  • 18 OctLeeds1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 10 OctManchester United1 – 1TottenhamD
  • 20 SeptFulham1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 16 SeptManchester United2 – 3BrightonL
  • 13 SeptManchester United0 – 1Manchester CityL
  • 10 SeptManchester United4 – 0Sabah FAW
H2H
Head to headAtletico Madrid 3W · 1D · Manchester United 1W · 1.6 goals a game
  • 1 AugManchester United2 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 30 JulAtletico Madrid1 – 0Manchester United
  • 30 JulAtletico Madrid1 – 0Manchester United
  • 15 MarManchester United0 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 23 FebAtletico Madrid1 – 1Manchester United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X59.4%
X240.6%

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.8
Draw3.9
Manchester United4.1

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

Atletico Madrid

Chance52.6%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Manchester United

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Atletico Madrid at 1.8

Atletico MadridManchester United
Recent form79%21%
Attack63%37%
Defence67%33%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head70%30%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 13 Oct 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Manchester United in the World, UEFA Champions League on 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 13 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?

Atletico Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.