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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Madrid

WWDWW

Sun, 20 Sept 202615:15

2 : 1

Full time

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

27.2%Atletico Madrid25.1%Draw47.7%Real Madrid

Our prediction

2 · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence47.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 27.2%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Real Madrid 47.7%

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridReal Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
1.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.4–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Madrid7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaW
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridW
  • 9 SeptLiverpool2 – 1Atletico MadridL
Real Madrid0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
    2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
    3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5%
    No37.5%

    Double chance

    1X41.6%
    X258.4%

    Match result

    Atletico Madrid3.5
    Draw3.8
    Real Madrid2

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5% · 1.5
    No37.5% · 2.5

    1X

    Chance41.6%
    Odds1.8

    X2

    Chance58.4%
    Odds1.28

    Atletico Madrid

    Chance27.2%
    Odds3.5

    Draw

    Chance25.1%
    Odds3.8

    Real Madrid

    Chance47.7%
    Odds2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 2

    Atletico MadridReal Madrid
    Recent form96%4%
    Attack66%34%
    Defence72%28%
    Goals model66%34%
    Overall36%64%

    Trends

    Trend · La Liga

    Atletico Madrid scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Atletico Madrid conceded 0.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 9.

    Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

    Spain · La Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

    Atletico Madrid meet Real Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 20 September 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid match?

    Kickoff is 15:15 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?

    Real Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.