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Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaWed, 16 Sept 2026

Atletico-MG

WLLWW

Wed, 16 Sept 202623:00

vs

Not started

Santos

DLWDD

Pre-match win probability

55.1%Atletico-MG25.8%Draw19.1%Santos

Our prediction

2 · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds5
Confidence55.1%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 55.1%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Santos 19.1%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGSantos
Goals scored (avg)
–1.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico-MG0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Santos5W 3D 1L in last 9
    • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
    • 25 OctSantos1 – 1BahiaD
    • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosW
    • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1SantosL
    • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
    • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosW
    • 19 SeptRemo1 – 2SantosW
    • 13 SeptSantos2 – 1CruzeiroW
    • 9 SeptSantos2 – 0Atletico-MGW
    H2H
    Head to headAtletico-MG 3W · 3D · Santos 3W · 1.9 goals a game
    • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1Santos
    • 9 SeptSantos2 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 12 AprSantos1 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 14 SeptAtletico-MG1 – 1Santos
    • 17 AprSantos2 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 27 AugAtletico-MG2 – 0Santos
    • 23 AprSantos0 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 6 OctSantos1 – 2Atletico-MG
    • 11 JunAtletico-MG1 – 1Santos

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
    2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
    3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X63.7%
    X236.3%

    Match result

    Atletico-MG1.73
    Draw3.7
    Santos5

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance63.7%
    Odds1.17

    X2

    Chance36.3%
    Odds2.05

    Atletico-MG

    Chance55.1%
    Odds1.73

    Draw

    Chance25.8%
    Odds3.7

    Santos

    Chance19.1%
    Odds5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 5

    Atletico-MGSantos
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack38%62%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model38%62%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall74%26%

    Trends

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Santos scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Santos conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Atletico-MG vs Santos: prediction & preview

    World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 16 Sept 2026

    Atletico-MG meet Santos in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 16 September 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Atletico-MG vs Santos FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Atletico-MG vs Santos match?

    Kickoff is 23:00 on 16 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Atletico-MG vs Santos?

    Atletico-MG is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.