Get Premium

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera ASat, 14 Nov 2026

Atletico Nacional

1st in table · 40 pts

WWDWD

Sat, 14 Nov 202621:30

vs

Not started

Once Caldas

5th in table · 33 pts

DDWWW

Pre-match win probability

38.2%Atletico Nacional29.3%Draw32.5%Once Caldas

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence57.1%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Nacional 38.2%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Once Caldas 32.5%

Season statistics

Primera A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas
Goals scored (avg)
2.11.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.7
Wins
138
Played
1919

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Nacional6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 8 NovJuventud Palmeiras2 – 2Atletico NacionalD
  • 8 NovAtletico Nacional4 – 3Deportivo PereiraW
  • 3 NovBucaramanga1 – 1Atletico NacionalD
  • 30 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 0Santa FeW
  • 26 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 1Independiente MedellinW
  • 23 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 0Deportivo PastoW
  • 21 OctCucuta1 – 0Atletico NacionalL
  • 17 OctChico1 – 4Atletico NacionalW
  • 15 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 2Independiente MedellinW
  • 9 OctAtletico Nacional0 – 0Deportes TolimaD
Once Caldas5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 7 NovOnce Caldas1 – 0Águilas DoradasW
  • 2 NovSanta Fe0 – 2Once CaldasW
  • 29 OctOnce Caldas1 – 0Alianza ValleduparW
  • 25 OctOnce Caldas1 – 1Deportivo PereiraD
  • 21 OctMillonarios1 – 1Once CaldasD
  • 18 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 2Once CaldasW
  • 10 OctOnce Caldas1 – 0LlanerosW
  • 4 OctInternacional de Bogota1 – 1Once CaldasD
  • 26 SeptOnce Caldas1 – 3BucaramangaL
  • 20 SeptDeportivo Pasto1 – 0Once CaldasL
H2H
Head to headAtletico Nacional 5W · 3D · Once Caldas 2W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 2 MayOnce Caldas1 – 0Atletico Nacional
  • 23 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 0Once Caldas
  • 10 OctOnce Caldas0 – 1Atletico Nacional
  • 12 JulOnce Caldas1 – 3Atletico Nacional
  • 20 JunOnce Caldas1 – 2Atletico Nacional
  • 2 JunAtletico Nacional0 – 0Once Caldas
  • 26 JanAtletico Nacional4 – 0Once Caldas
  • 27 JulOnce Caldas2 – 0Atletico Nacional
  • 2 FebAtletico Nacional1 – 1Once Caldas
  • 17 JulOnce Caldas1 – 1Atletico Nacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X33.2%
1235.8%
X231%

Match result

Atletico Nacional2.38
Draw3.1
Once Caldas2.8

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance33.2%
Odds1.4

12

Chance35.8%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance31%
Odds1.5

Atletico Nacional

Chance38.2%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.1

Once Caldas

Chance32.5%
Odds2.8

First half result

Atletico Nacional34.1% · 2.62
Draw38.8% · 2.3
Once Caldas27.1% · 3.3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.75

Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas
Recent form54%46%
Attack66%34%
Defence45%55%
Goals model66%34%
Head-to-head65%35%
Overall54%46%

Trends

Trend · Primera A

Atletico Nacional scored 2.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera A

Atletico Nacional conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera A

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Primera A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Sat, 14 Nov 2026

Atletico Nacional meet Once Caldas in the Colombia, Primera A on 14 November 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Nacional at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas match?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 14 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Atletico Nacional is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.