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Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Atlético Paso

12th in table · 9 pts

LDWWL

Sat, 3 Oct 202619:30

1 : 0

Full time

Real Madrid III

17th in table · 5 pts

DDDLW

Pre-match win probability

25.8%Atlético Paso30.1%Draw44.1%Real Madrid III

Our prediction

1X · Atlético Paso

Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atlético Paso 25.8%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Real Madrid III 44.1%

Season statistics

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atlético PasoReal Madrid III
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.40.6
Wins
20
Played
98

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atlético Paso2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovNavalcarnero3 – 1Atlético PasoL
  • 27 OctAtlético Paso3 – 1CordobaW
  • 24 OctAtlético Paso3 – 0Real ÁvilaW
  • 18 OctConquense2 – 2Atlético PasoD
  • 11 OctCF Talavera2 – 1Atlético PasoL
  • 27 SeptAlbacete II2 – 2Atlético PasoD
  • 19 SeptAtlético Paso0 – 1A Madrid IIIL
  • 13 SeptCalvo Sotelo0 – 0Atlético PasoD
  • 6 SeptAtlético Paso0 – 2NumanciaL
Real Madrid III2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovReal Ávila0 – 1Real Madrid IIIW
  • 25 OctReal Madrid III0 – 2ConquenseL
  • 18 OctRSD Alcalá0 – 0Real Madrid IIID
  • 11 OctReal Madrid III0 – 0Atlético TordesillasD
  • 7 OctReal Madrid III1 – 1GuadalajaraD
  • 27 SeptA Madrid III2 – 0Real Madrid IIIL
  • 13 SeptCF Talavera0 – 0Real Madrid IIID
  • 6 SeptReal Madrid III0 – 0Albacete IID
  • 29 AugGimnástica Segoviana0 – 1Real Madrid IIIW
H2H
Head to headAtlético Paso 0W · 2D · Real Madrid III 0W · 1 goals a game
  • 16 FebReal Madrid III1 – 1Atlético Paso
  • 6 OctAtlético Paso0 – 0Real Madrid III

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals39.1% · 2.3860.9% · 1.53

Double chance

1X45.2%
X254.8%

Match result

Atlético Paso3.5
Draw3
Real Madrid III2.05

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance45.2%
Odds1.55

X2

Chance54.8%
Odds1.28

Atlético Paso

Chance25.8%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3

Real Madrid III

Chance44.1%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.55

Atlético PasoReal Madrid III
Recent form45%55%
Attack81%19%
Defence40%60%
Goals model81%19%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall37%63%

Trends

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Atlético Paso scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Atlético Paso conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Atlético Paso meet Real Madrid III in the Spain, Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 3 October 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid III at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III match?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?

Real Madrid III is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.