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Aucas vs Libertad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSun, 30 Aug 2026

Aucas

DLLDL

Sun, 30 Aug 202619:00

1 : 0

Full time

Libertad

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

59.2%Aucas24.8%Draw16%Libertad

Our prediction

2 · Aucas

Aucas vs Libertad listed tip from the board.

Odds5.75
Confidence59.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aucas 59.2%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Libertad 16%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AucasLibertad
Goals scored (avg)
0.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.5–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aucas0W 4D 4L in last 8
  • 25 OctAucas0 – 4Barcelona SCL
  • 17 OctAucas1 – 1LDU de QuitoD
  • 10 OctIndependiente del Valle2 – 1AucasL
  • 19 SeptAucas1 – 2MacaraL
  • 12 SeptManta FC0 – 0AucasD
  • 7 SeptAucas1 – 1Barcelona SCD
  • 3 SeptUniversidad Catolica1 – 1AucasD
  • 26 AugLDU de Quito1 – 0AucasL
Libertad0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headAucas 2W · 2D · Libertad 4W · 3 goals a game
    • 2 MayLibertad3 – 2Aucas
    • 23 AugLibertad3 – 2Aucas
    • 6 MayAucas2 – 0Libertad
    • 26 OctLibertad1 – 1Aucas
    • 5 SeptAucas0 – 1Libertad
    • 5 MayAucas2 – 0Libertad
    • 27 AugAucas1 – 2Libertad
    • 1 AprLibertad2 – 2Aucas

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
    3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4%
    No53.6%

    Double chance

    1X67.6%
    X232.4%

    Match result

    Aucas1.55
    Draw3.7
    Libertad5.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4% · 2
    No53.6% · 1.73

    1X

    Chance67.6%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance32.4%
    Odds2.38

    Aucas

    Chance59.2%
    Odds1.55

    Draw

    Chance24.8%
    Odds3.7

    Libertad

    Chance16%
    Odds5.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 5.75

    AucasLibertad
    Recent form80%20%
    Attack37%63%
    Defence60%40%
    Goals model37%63%
    Head-to-head38%62%
    Overall79%21%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Aucas scored 0.6 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Aucas conceded 1.5 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Failed to score in 3 of those 8.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

    Aucas vs Libertad: prediction & preview

    Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

    Aucas meet Libertad in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aucas at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Aucas vs Libertad FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Aucas vs Libertad match?

    Kickoff is 19:00 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Aucas vs Libertad?

    Aucas is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.