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Avellino vs Padova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSat, 24 Oct 2026

Avellino

LWDDW

Sat, 24 Oct 202614:00

0 : 1

Full time

Padova

LLLWD

Pre-match win probability

43.3%Avellino30.1%Draw26.6%Padova

Our prediction

Avellino

Avellino is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Avellino 43.3%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Padova 26.6%

Season statistics

Serie B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AvellinoPadova
Goals scored (avg)
1.71
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Avellino4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovAvellino2 – 0PisaW
  • 27 OctVirtus Entella1 – 1AvellinoD
  • 18 OctCesena1 – 1AvellinoD
  • 9 OctAvellino4 – 1SampdoriaW
  • 19 SeptAscoli3 – 1AvellinoL
  • 13 SeptAvellino1 – 1PalermoD
  • 6 SeptModena0 – 1AvellinoW
  • 29 AugAvellino3 – 0Vicenza VirtusW
  • 22 AugAvellino1 – 2ArezzoL
Padova3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctCatanzaro1 – 1PadovaD
  • 27 OctPadova2 – 0SudtirolW
  • 17 OctPadova1 – 2Virtus EntellaL
  • 11 OctPadova0 – 2CarrareseL
  • 19 SeptPalermo2 – 1PadovaL
  • 12 SeptPadova1 – 0AscoliW
  • 6 SeptCremonese3 – 1PadovaL
  • 29 AugPadova1 – 1Hellas VeronaD
  • 23 AugPisa0 – 1PadovaW
H2H
Head to headAvellino 1W · 2D · Padova 2W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 7 MarAvellino1 – 0Padova
  • 30 SeptPadova2 – 2Avellino
  • 3 MayAvellino0 – 1Padova
  • 9 JunAvellino0 – 1Padova
  • 6 JunPadova1 – 1Avellino

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Avellino2.15
Draw3.1
Padova3.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Avellino

Chance43.3%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Padova

Chance26.6%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Avellino at 2.15

AvellinoPadova
Recent form58%42%
Attack63%37%
Defence53%47%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head40%60%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Avellino scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Avellino conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie B

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 9.

Avellino vs Padova: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Avellino meet Padova in the Italy, Serie B on 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Avellino at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Avellino vs Padova FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Avellino vs Padova match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Avellino vs Padova?

Avellino is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.