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Avellino vs Sampdoria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BFri, 9 Oct 2026

Avellino

5th in table · 15 pts

LDLDW

Fri, 9 Oct 202619:30

4 : 1

Full time

Sampdoria

19th in table · 8 pts

WLDLW

Pre-match win probability

34.8%Avellino30.3%Draw34.8%Sampdoria

Our prediction

1X · Avellino

Avellino vs Sampdoria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence34.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Avellino 34.8%
  • Draw 30.3%
  • Sampdoria 34.8%

Season statistics

Serie B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AvellinoSampdoria
Goals scored (avg)
1.21
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.6
Wins
42
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Avellino3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovAvellino2 – 0PisaW
  • 27 OctVirtus Entella1 – 1AvellinoD
  • 24 OctAvellino0 – 1PadovaL
  • 18 OctCesena1 – 1AvellinoD
  • 19 SeptAscoli3 – 1AvellinoL
  • 13 SeptAvellino1 – 1PalermoD
  • 6 SeptModena0 – 1AvellinoW
  • 29 AugAvellino3 – 0Vicenza VirtusW
  • 22 AugAvellino1 – 2ArezzoL
Sampdoria2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctSampdoria2 – 0Virtus EntellaW
  • 27 OctAscoli2 – 0SampdoriaL
  • 24 OctSudtirol1 – 1SampdoriaD
  • 18 OctSampdoria1 – 2ArezzoL
  • 19 SeptSampdoria2 – 1CatanzaroW
  • 13 SeptMantova2 – 0SampdoriaL
  • 7 SeptPalermo3 – 1SampdoriaL
  • 29 AugSampdoria1 – 2Juve StabiaL
  • 23 AugCesena1 – 1SampdoriaD
H2H
Head to headAvellino 1W · 0D · Sampdoria 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 22 MarSampdoria2 – 1Avellino
  • 10 JanAvellino2 – 1Sampdoria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Avellino2.7
Draw3.1
Sampdoria2.7

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Avellino

Chance34.8%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance30.3%
Odds3.1

Sampdoria

Chance34.8%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.44

AvellinoSampdoria
Recent form60%40%
Attack55%45%
Defence59%41%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Avellino scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Avellino conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Avellino vs Sampdoria: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Fri, 9 Oct 2026

Avellino meet Sampdoria in the Italy, Serie B on 9 October 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Avellino at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Avellino vs Sampdoria FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Avellino vs Sampdoria match?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 9 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Avellino vs Sampdoria?

Avellino is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.