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Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipFri, 4 Sept 2026

Baglan Dragons

6th in table · 17 pts

LWDWL

Fri, 4 Sept 202619:30

2 : 1

Full time

Afan Lido

10th in table · 15 pts

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

39.1%Baglan Dragons25%Draw36%Afan Lido

Our prediction

1X · Baglan Dragons

Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Baglan Dragons 39.1%
  • Draw 25%
  • Afan Lido 36%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Baglan DragonsAfan Lido
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.9
Wins
54
Played
1213

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Baglan Dragons4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctBaglan Dragons0 – 1Treowen StarsL
  • 17 OctLlantwit Fardre1 – 3Baglan DragonsW
  • 10 OctBaglan Dragons1 – 1Pontypridd TownD
  • 2 Octllanelli AFC1 – 2Baglan DragonsW
  • 25 SeptBaglan Dragons1 – 2Carmarthen TownL
  • 12 SeptCardiff Draconians2 – 1Baglan DragonsL
  • 31 AugBaglan Dragons0 – 1Caerphilly AthleticL
  • 28 AugBaglan Dragons3 – 1Caerau (Ely)W
  • 21 AugNewport City0 – 1Baglan DragonsW
Afan Lido2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctCardiff Draconians2 – 0Afan LidoL
  • 23 Octllanelli AFC0 – 3Afan LidoW
  • 18 OctAfan Lido2 – 3PenybontL
  • 9 OctAfan Lido5 – 5Swansea UniversityD
  • 2 OctCaerau (Ely)2 – 0Afan LidoL
  • 25 SeptAfan Lido0 – 0Newport CityD
  • 11 SeptPontypridd Town0 – 1Afan LidoW
  • 31 AugAfan Lido0 – 0Ynyshir AlbionsD
  • 28 AugTrethomas Bluebirds5 – 2Afan LidoL
H2H
Head to headBaglan Dragons 3W · 2D · Afan Lido 2W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 26 DecBaglan Dragons3 – 1Afan Lido
  • 10 OctAfan Lido1 – 1Baglan Dragons
  • 8 FebBaglan Dragons1 – 1Afan Lido
  • 4 OctAfan Lido0 – 3Baglan Dragons
  • 12 JanAfan Lido0 – 2Baglan Dragons
  • 21 OctBaglan Dragons0 – 1Afan Lido
  • 21 JulBaglan Dragons1 – 3Afan Lido

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals55.3% · 1.744.7% · 2.1

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Baglan Dragons2.3
Draw3.6
Afan Lido2.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Baglan Dragons

Chance39.1%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.6

Afan Lido

Chance36%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.44

Baglan DragonsAfan Lido
Recent form59%41%
Attack48%52%
Defence63%37%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head57%43%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · FAW Championship

Baglan Dragons scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · FAW Championship

Baglan Dragons conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · FAW Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · FAW Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido: prediction & preview

Wales · FAW Championship · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Baglan Dragons meet Afan Lido in the Wales, FAW Championship on 4 September 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Baglan Dragons at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido match?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 4 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?

Baglan Dragons is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.