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Bari vs Crotone Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie C - Girone CSun, 18 Oct 2026

Bari

WLWWD

Sun, 18 Oct 202614:00

0 : 0

Full time

Crotone

DWLLL

Pre-match win probability

54.6%Bari26.5%Draw19%Crotone

Our prediction

1 · Bari

Bari vs Crotone listed tip from the board.

Odds1.65
Confidence54.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bari 54.6%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Crotone 19%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone C · highlighted side is stronger

BariCrotone
Goals scored (avg)
–1.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bari0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Crotone1W 3D 4L in last 8
    • 26 OctCrotone0 – 1CasaranoL
    • 10 OctCrotone2 – 3Audace CerignolaL
    • 3 OctCatania2 – 1CrotoneL
    • 26 SeptCrotone2 – 1SalernitanaW
    • 20 SeptSS Monopoli2 – 2CrotoneD
    • 15 SeptCrotone0 – 2Inter U23L
    • 12 SeptSavoia1 – 1CrotoneD
    • 5 SeptCrotone2 – 2BarlettaD
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
    3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X63.1%
    X236.9%

    Match result

    Bari1.65
    Draw3.4
    Crotone4.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.83
    No50% · 1.83

    1X

    Chance63.1%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance36.9%
    Odds1.95

    Bari

    Chance54.6%
    Odds1.65

    Draw

    Chance26.5%
    Odds3.4

    Crotone

    Chance19%
    Odds4.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1 at 1.65

    BariCrotone
    Recent form14%86%
    Attack43%57%
    Defence45%55%
    Goals model43%57%
    Overall74%26%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie C - Girone C

    Crotone scored 1.3 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Serie C - Girone C

    Crotone conceded 1.8 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Serie C - Girone C

    Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

    Trend · Serie C - Girone C

    Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 8.

    Bari vs Crotone: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie C - Girone C · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

    Bari meet Crotone in the Italy, Serie C - Girone C on 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bari at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Bari vs Crotone FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Bari vs Crotone match?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Bari vs Crotone?

    Bari is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.