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Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 5 Nov 2026

Bayer Leverkusen

3rd in table · 9 pts

WWLWL

Thu, 5 Nov 202621:00

vs

Not started

Marseille

34th in table · 0 pts

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

67.5%Bayer Leverkusen18.4%Draw14.1%Marseille

Our prediction

HWEH · Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence67.5%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bayer Leverkusen 67.5%
  • Draw 18.4%
  • Marseille 14.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Bayer LeverkusenMarseille
Goals scored (avg)
2.51.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.7
Wins
30
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bayer Leverkusen7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 31 OctBayer Leverkusen2 – 4VfB StuttgartL
  • 28 OctBayer Leverkusen5 – 21. FC NürnbergW
  • 25 Oct1899 Hoffenheim3 – 0Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 22 OctOFI0 – 2Bayer LeverkusenW
  • 18 OctBayer Leverkusen2 – 1SC FreiburgW
  • 15 OctLech Poznan0 – 4Bayer LeverkusenW
  • 10 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer LeverkusenW
  • 20 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0RB LeipzigW
  • 16 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0CeljeW
  • 12 SeptFC Augsburg2 – 2Bayer LeverkusenD
Marseille4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 1 NovMarseille2 – 0ToulouseW
  • 25 OctMarseille4 – 3Le HavreW
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 18 OctAngers2 – 5MarseilleW
  • 15 OctMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusL
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleW
  • 20 SeptMarseille1 – 2Paris Saint GermainL
  • 17 SeptBeşiktaş4 – 1MarseilleL
  • 11 SeptRennes1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 6 SeptMarseille2 – 3Paris FCL
H2H
Head to headBayer Leverkusen 1W · 0D · Marseille 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 2 AugMarseille1 – 2Bayer Leverkusen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes57.1%
No42.9%

Double chance

1X43.3%
1240.8%
X215.9%

Match result

Bayer Leverkusen1.36
Draw5
Marseille6.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.1% · 1.65
No42.9% · 2.2

1X

Chance43.3%
Odds1.1

12

Chance40.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance15.9%
Odds3

Bayer Leverkusen

Chance67.5%
Odds1.36

Draw

Chance18.4%
Odds5

Marseille

Chance14.1%
Odds6.5

First half result

Bayer Leverkusen51.6% · 1.75
Draw33.4% · 2.7
Marseille15% · 6

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.22

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: HWEH at 1.2

Bayer LeverkusenMarseille
Recent form65%35%
Attack60%40%
Defence54%46%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall83%17%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026

Bayer Leverkusen meet Marseille in the World, UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayer Leverkusen at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.65. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Bayer Leverkusen are listed at 50 points per game. Marseille are listed at 0 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille match?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 5 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Bayer Leverkusen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.65. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.