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Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

China · Super LeagueSun, 18 Oct 2026

Beijing Guoan

3rd in table · 47 pts

WWWWD

Sun, 18 Oct 202612:00

1 : 0

Full time

Qingdao Youth Island

7th in table · 39 pts

WDDLD

Pre-match win probability

65.5%Beijing Guoan20.4%Draw14.1%Qingdao Youth Island

Our prediction

1X · Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence65.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Beijing Guoan 65.5%
  • Draw 20.4%
  • Qingdao Youth Island 14.1%

Season statistics

Super League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
Goals scored (avg)
2.21
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.20.9
Wins
148
Played
2929

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Beijing Guoan5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 27 OctBeijing Guoan2 – 2Jeonbuk MotorsD
  • 24 OctHenan Jianye3 – 4Beijing GuoanW
  • 13 OctBuriram United0 – 1Beijing GuoanW
  • 9 OctQingdao Jonoon0 – 3Beijing GuoanW
  • 15 SeptBeijing Guoan3 – 1Pohang SteelersW
  • 5 SeptSHANGHAI SIPG0 – 0Beijing GuoanD
  • 1 SeptBeijing Guoan3 – 1Rizhao YuqiW
  • 28 AugDalian Zhixing1 – 1Beijing GuoanD
  • 22 AugBeijing Guoan3 – 3Yunnan YukunD
Qingdao Youth Island3W 5D 1L in last 9
  • 24 OctQingdao Youth Island1 – 1Yunnan YukunD
  • 11 OctQingdao Youth Island0 – 4Dalian ZhixingL
  • 5 SeptWuhan Three Towns2 – 2Qingdao Youth IslandD
  • 29 AugTianjin Teda1 – 1Qingdao Youth IslandD
  • 22 AugQingdao Youth Island2 – 0Shandong LunengW
  • 14 AugQingdao Youth Island0 – 0Chongqing Tongliang LongD
  • 9 AugHenan Jianye0 – 0Qingdao Youth IslandD
  • 2 AugQingdao Youth Island2 – 0Qingdao JonoonW
  • 25 JulShenyang Urban0 – 1Qingdao Youth IslandW
H2H
Head to headBeijing Guoan 4W · 3D · Qingdao Youth Island 0W · 3.6 goals a game
  • 19 MayQingdao Youth Island1 – 1Beijing Guoan
  • 16 AugQingdao Youth Island1 – 3Beijing Guoan
  • 22 JulQingdao Youth Island2 – 2Beijing Guoan
  • 17 JunBeijing Guoan1 – 0Qingdao Youth Island
  • 11 AugQingdao Youth Island2 – 2Beijing Guoan
  • 21 AprBeijing Guoan4 – 1Qingdao Youth Island
  • 26 JulQingdao Youth Island1 – 4Beijing Guoan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.7% · 2.7
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.6% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X71.2%
X228.8%

Match result

Beijing Guoan1.4
Draw4.5
Qingdao Youth Island6.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance71.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance28.8%
Odds2.75

Beijing Guoan

Chance65.5%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance20.4%
Odds4.5

Qingdao Youth Island

Chance14.1%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.11

Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
Recent form58%42%
Attack69%31%
Defence46%54%
Goals model69%31%
Head-to-head79%21%
Overall82%18%

Trends

Trend · Super League

Beijing Guoan scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Super League

Beijing Guoan conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Super League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Super League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island: prediction & preview

China · Super League · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Beijing Guoan meet Qingdao Youth Island in the China, Super League on 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Beijing Guoan at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island match?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?

Beijing Guoan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.