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Benfica vs Alverca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 2 Nov 2026

Benfica

2nd in table · 22 pts

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Mon, 2 Nov 202621:15

vs

Not started

Alverca

9th in table · 11 pts

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

79.5%Benfica13.3%Draw7.2%Alverca

Our prediction

Benfica

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.17
Confidence79.5%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 79.5%
  • Draw 13.3%
  • Alverca 7.2%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaAlverca
Goals scored (avg)
2.91.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.5
Wins
73
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Benfica9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 29 OctBenfica4 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 15 OctBenfica4 – 1CelticW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaW
  • 13 SeptBenfica3 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaW
  • 5 SeptMaritimo0 – 3BenficaW
Alverca3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctAlverca0 – 1AroucaL
  • 18 OctTondela2 – 0AlvercaL
  • 12 OctFamalicao1 – 4AlvercaW
  • 19 SeptAlverca1 – 0Rio AveW
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaW
  • 5 SeptAlverca1 – 2SC BragaL
  • 29 AugAlverca1 – 1Santa ClaraD
  • 22 AugSporting CP3 – 1AlvercaL
  • 15 AugAlverca2 – 2EstrelaD
  • 9 AugFC Porto2 – 0AlvercaL
H2H
Head to headBenfica 2W · 0D · Alverca 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 8 FebBenfica2 – 1Alverca
  • 31 AugAlverca1 – 2Benfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X46.3%
1243.7%
X210%

Match result

Benfica1.17
Draw7
Alverca13

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance46.3%
Odds1.04

12

Chance43.7%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance10%
Odds4.8

Benfica

Chance79.5%
Odds1.17

Draw

Chance13.3%
Odds7

Alverca

Chance7.2%
Odds13

First half result

Benfica59.2% · 1.55
Draw31.6% · 2.9
Alverca9.2% · 10

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.22

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Benfica at 1.17

BenficaAlverca
Recent form71%29%
Attack69%31%
Defence59%41%
Goals model69%31%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall92%8%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Benfica scored 2.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Benfica conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

Benfica vs Alverca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 2 Nov 2026

Benfica meet Alverca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 2 November 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 79.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Benfica are listed at 45 points per game. Alverca are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Benfica vs Alverca FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Benfica vs Alverca match?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 2 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Benfica vs Alverca?

Benfica is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 79.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.