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BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Thailand · Thai League 1Sat, 10 Oct 2026

BG Pathum United

10th in table · 9 pts

LDLWW

Sat, 10 Oct 202612:00

1 : 1

Full time

Ayutthaya FC

3rd in table · 13 pts

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

63.9%BG Pathum United22.4%Draw13.8%Ayutthaya FC

Our prediction

X2 · BG Pathum United

BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC listed tip from the board.

Odds2.6
Confidence63.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • BG Pathum United 63.9%
  • Draw 22.4%
  • Ayutthaya FC 13.8%

Season statistics

Thai League 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BG Pathum UnitedAyutthaya FC
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.8
Wins
24
Played
67

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

BG Pathum United3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 29 OctWofoo Tai Po0 – 3BG Pathum UnitedW
  • 24 OctBG Pathum United2 – 0Chiangrai UnitedW
  • 21 OctKhon Kaen United1 – 0BG Pathum UnitedL
  • 18 OctSisaket United1 – 1BG Pathum UnitedD
  • 15 OctBG Pathum United1 – 2Adelaide UnitedL
  • 20 SeptBangkok United3 – 2BG Pathum UnitedL
  • 17 SeptHome United1 – 1BG Pathum UnitedD
  • 12 SeptBG Pathum United3 – 2Rasi Salai UnitedW
  • 4 SeptPattani0 – 0BG Pathum UnitedD
Ayutthaya FC5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovSukhothai FC0 – 3Ayutthaya FCW
  • 25 OctRasi Salai United1 – 4Ayutthaya FCW
  • 21 OctAyutthaya FC2 – 1Muangthong UnitedW
  • 16 OctAyutthaya FC0 – 2Lamphun WarriorL
  • 18 SeptAyutthaya FC1 – 2Uthai ThaniL
  • 12 SeptSisaket United0 – 1Ayutthaya FCW
  • 6 SeptAyutthaya FC2 – 1RatchaburiW
  • 17 MayBuriram United5 – 0Ayutthaya FCL
  • 10 MayAyutthaya FC1 – 4Port FCL
H2H
Head to headBG Pathum United 3W · 1D · Ayutthaya FC 0W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 22 FebAyutthaya FC0 – 2BG Pathum United
  • 18 OctBG Pathum United1 – 0Ayutthaya FC
  • 25 SeptAyutthaya FC3 – 3BG Pathum United
  • 29 MayBG Pathum United1 – 0Ayutthaya FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X70.8%
X229.2%

Match result

BG Pathum United1.4
Draw4
Ayutthaya FC6.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance70.8%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance29.2%
Odds2.6

BG Pathum United

Chance63.9%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance22.4%
Odds4

Ayutthaya FC

Chance13.8%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 2.6

BG Pathum UnitedAyutthaya FC
Recent form44%56%
Attack47%53%
Defence61%39%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head88%12%
Overall82%18%

Trends

Trend · Thai League 1

BG Pathum United scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Thai League 1

BG Pathum United conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Thai League 1

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Thai League 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC: prediction & preview

Thailand · Thai League 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

BG Pathum United meet Ayutthaya FC in the Thailand, Thai League 1 on 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is BG Pathum United at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is the BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC match?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC?

BG Pathum United is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.