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Birmingham vs QPR Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 17 Oct 2026

Birmingham

6th in table · 23 pts

DWWLW

Sat, 17 Oct 202615:00

3 : 0

Full time

QPR

9th in table · 20 pts

DDWWL

Pre-match win probability

48%Birmingham26.7%Draw25.3%QPR

Our prediction

1X · Birmingham

Birmingham vs QPR listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence48%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Birmingham 48%
  • Draw 26.7%
  • QPR 25.3%

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BirminghamQPR
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.2
Wins
65
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Birmingham4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctLincoln1 – 3BirminghamW
  • 24 OctCardiff1 – 0BirminghamL
  • 13 OctBirmingham4 – 0PrestonW
  • 10 OctWest Brom0 – 1BirminghamW
  • 19 SeptBirmingham2 – 2MiddlesbroughD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamW
  • 9 SeptNorwich2 – 1BirminghamL
  • 6 SeptBirmingham2 – 2WolvesD
  • 1 SeptBirmingham1 – 1SouthamptonD
QPR3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctSouthampton4 – 1QPRL
  • 24 OctQPR5 – 0SwanseaW
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyW
  • 9 OctWest Ham1 – 1QPRD
  • 19 SeptQPR2 – 2PrestonD
  • 12 SeptWest Brom1 – 1QPRD
  • 9 SeptCharlton0 – 0QPRD
  • 5 SeptQPR0 – 1MiddlesbroughL
  • 2 SeptQPR2 – 1CardiffW
H2H
Head to headBirmingham 4W · 1D · QPR 4W · 2 goals a game
  • 11 MarBirmingham1 – 0QPR
  • 9 DecQPR2 – 1Birmingham
  • 29 MarQPR2 – 1Birmingham
  • 22 SeptBirmingham0 – 0QPR
  • 18 MarQPR0 – 1Birmingham
  • 28 OctBirmingham2 – 0QPR
  • 2 JanBirmingham1 – 2QPR
  • 28 SeptQPR2 – 0Birmingham
  • 27 FebBirmingham2 – 1QPR

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.4% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X59.4%
X240.6%

Match result

Birmingham1.95
Draw3.5
QPR3.7

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

Birmingham

Chance48%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance26.7%
Odds3.5

QPR

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

BirminghamQPR
Recent form54%46%
Attack50%50%
Defence51%49%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall65%35%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Birmingham scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Birmingham conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Birmingham vs QPR: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Birmingham meet QPR in the England, Championship on 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Birmingham at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Birmingham vs QPR FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Birmingham vs QPR match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Birmingham vs QPR?

Birmingham is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.