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Bolívar vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaWed, 12 Aug 2026

Bolívar

DWWLW

Wed, 12 Aug 202601:30

1 : 1

Full time

Sao Paulo

LDDLL

Pre-match win probability

52.6%Bolívar26.3%Draw21.1%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

1 · Bolívar

Bolívar vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bolívar 52.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Sao Paulo 21.1%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BolívarSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bolívar7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 27 OctBolívar2 – 1Universitario de VintoW
  • 21 OctReal Potosí3 – 1BolívarL
  • 18 OctNacional Potosí0 – 1BolívarW
  • 12 OctBolívar1 – 0BloomingW
  • 9 OctBlooming1 – 1BolívarD
  • 5 OctIndependiente Petrolero0 – 3BolívarW
  • 1 OctBolívar3 – 2Gualberto Villarroel SJW
  • 27 SeptBolívar3 – 0BloomingW
  • 20 SeptThe Strongest1 – 1BolívarD
  • 18 SeptBolívar4 – 2Gualberto Villarroel SJW
Sao Paulo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5%
    No48.5%

    Double chance

    1X62.3%
    X237.7%

    Match result

    Bolívar1.8
    Draw3.6
    Sao Paulo4.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5% · 1.8
    No48.5% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance62.3%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance37.7%
    Odds1.95

    Bolívar

    Chance52.6%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance26.3%
    Odds3.6

    Sao Paulo

    Chance21.1%
    Odds4.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1 at 1.8

    BolívarSao Paulo
    Recent form96%4%
    Attack67%33%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model67%33%
    Overall71%29%

    Trends

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Bolívar scored 2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Bolívar conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

    Bolívar vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

    World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 12 Aug 2026

    Bolívar meet Sao Paulo in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 12 August 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bolívar at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Bolívar vs Sao Paulo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Bolívar vs Sao Paulo match?

    Kickoff is 01:30 on 12 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Bolívar vs Sao Paulo?

    Bolívar is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.