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Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 12 Sept 2026

Borussia Dortmund

2nd in table · 18 pts

DWWWD

Sat, 12 Sept 202614:30

3 : 0

Full time

SC Paderborn 07

13th in table · 9 pts

LDWLD

Pre-match win probability

74.8%Borussia Dortmund14.6%Draw10.6%SC Paderborn 07

Our prediction

1 · Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence74.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Borussia Dortmund 74.8%
  • Draw 14.6%
  • SC Paderborn 07 10.6%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
Goals scored (avg)
1.60.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.8
Wins
52
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Borussia Dortmund5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctBayern München2 – 2Borussia DortmundD
  • 27 OctBorussia Dortmund3 – 2Werder BremenW
  • 24 OctBorussia Dortmund1 – 0Eintracht FrankfurtW
  • 20 OctSabah FA1 – 2Borussia DortmundW
  • 17 OctUnion Berlin0 – 0Borussia DortmundD
  • 14 OctBodo/Glimt1 – 0Borussia DortmundL
  • 9 OctBorussia Dortmund2 – 2Werder BremenD
  • 19 SeptVfB Stuttgart0 – 1Borussia DortmundW
  • 8 SeptBorussia Dortmund3 – 2VillarrealW
SC Paderborn 073W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctBorussia Mönchengladbach0 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
  • 28 OctSC Paderborn 070 – 1VfB StuttgartL
  • 24 OctSC Paderborn 071 – 0Hamburger SVW
  • 17 OctWerder Bremen2 – 2SC Paderborn 07D
  • 10 OctSC Paderborn 070 – 2VfB StuttgartL
  • 1 OctDC United0 – 1SC Paderborn 07W
  • 20 SeptSC Paderborn 073 – 11899 HoffenheimW
  • 5 SeptSC Paderborn 070 – 1SC FreiburgL
  • 29 AugFSV Mainz 050 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
H2H
Head to headBorussia Dortmund 4W · 3D · SC Paderborn 07 0W · 5 goals a game
  • 2 FebBorussia Dortmund3 – 2SC Paderborn 07
  • 28 AugBorussia Dortmund1 – 1SC Paderborn 07
  • 31 MaySC Paderborn 071 – 6Borussia Dortmund
  • 22 NovBorussia Dortmund3 – 3SC Paderborn 07
  • 28 OctBorussia Dortmund7 – 1SC Paderborn 07
  • 18 AprBorussia Dortmund3 – 0SC Paderborn 07
  • 22 NovSC Paderborn 072 – 2Borussia Dortmund

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.8% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals18% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X77.8%
X222.2%

Match result

Borussia Dortmund1.27
Draw6.5
SC Paderborn 079

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance77.8%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance22.2%
Odds3.75

Borussia Dortmund

Chance74.8%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance14.6%
Odds6.5

SC Paderborn 07

Chance10.6%
Odds9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.27

Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
Recent form60%40%
Attack67%33%
Defence46%54%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head79%21%
Overall88%12%

Trends

Trend · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Borussia Dortmund meet SC Paderborn 07 in the Germany, Bundesliga on 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Borussia Dortmund at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?

Borussia Dortmund is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.