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Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 8 Sept 2026

Borussia Dortmund

13th in table · 6 pts

DWWWD

Tue, 8 Sept 202620:00

3 : 2

Full time

Villarreal

19th in table · 3 pts

DLWWL

Pre-match win probability

54.6%Borussia Dortmund23.6%Draw21.8%Villarreal

Our prediction

1X · Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence54.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Borussia Dortmund 54.6%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • Villarreal 21.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Borussia DortmundVillarreal
Goals scored (avg)
1.62
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.2
Wins
21
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Borussia Dortmund5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctBayern München2 – 2Borussia DortmundD
  • 27 OctBorussia Dortmund3 – 2Werder BremenW
  • 24 OctBorussia Dortmund1 – 0Eintracht FrankfurtW
  • 20 OctSabah FA1 – 2Borussia DortmundW
  • 17 OctUnion Berlin0 – 0Borussia DortmundD
  • 14 OctBodo/Glimt1 – 0Borussia DortmundL
  • 9 OctBorussia Dortmund2 – 2Werder BremenD
  • 19 SeptVfB Stuttgart0 – 1Borussia DortmundW
  • 12 SeptBorussia Dortmund3 – 0SC Paderborn 07W
Villarreal5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 30 OctVillarreal0 – 1EspanyolL
  • 27 OctManacor0 – 5VillarrealW
  • 24 OctValencia1 – 2VillarrealW
  • 20 OctLiverpool4 – 3VillarrealL
  • 17 OctVillarreal0 – 0ElcheD
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealL
  • 20 SeptVillarreal3 – 1LevanteW
  • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealW
  • 14 SeptVillarreal1 – 2Real BetisL
H2H
Head to headBorussia Dortmund 1W · 1D · Villarreal 1W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 25 NovBorussia Dortmund4 – 0Villarreal
  • 6 AugBorussia Dortmund2 – 2Villarreal
  • 22 JulBorussia Dortmund0 – 2Villarreal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X61.5%
X238.5%

Match result

Borussia Dortmund1.73
Draw4
Villarreal4.33

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

Borussia Dortmund

Chance54.6%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds4

Villarreal

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.22

Borussia DortmundVillarreal
Recent form53%47%
Attack44%56%
Defence54%46%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Borussia Dortmund scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Borussia Dortmund conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 8 Sept 2026

Borussia Dortmund meet Villarreal in the World, UEFA Champions League on 8 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Borussia Dortmund at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 8 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?

Borussia Dortmund is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.