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Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 8 Oct 2026

Botafogo

12th in table · 39 pts

LDWLL

Thu, 8 Oct 202600:30

1 : 2

Full time

Vasco DA Gama

13th in table · 38 pts

WLLWL

Pre-match win probability

30.6%Botafogo26.3%Draw43.1%Vasco DA Gama

Our prediction

Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Botafogo 30.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Vasco DA Gama 43.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BotafogoVasco DA Gama
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.2
Wins
1010
Played
3332

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Botafogo2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 29 OctRemo2 – 1BotafogoL
  • 24 OctInternacional3 – 0BotafogoL
  • 17 OctBotafogo1 – 0Chapecoense-scW
  • 12 OctCoritiba1 – 1BotafogoD
  • 19 SeptMirassol2 – 0BotafogoL
  • 16 SeptBotafogo3 – 2GremioW
  • 13 SeptBotafogo1 – 1RB BragantinoD
  • 6 SeptBotafogo0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 30 AugFlamengo3 – 0BotafogoL
Vasco DA Gama5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 30 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 4FlamengoL
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansW
  • 21 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 3Boca JuniorsL
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaL
  • 14 OctBoca Juniors0 – 1Vasco DA GamaW
  • 10 OctVasco DA Gama0 – 0RemoD
  • 20 SeptVasco DA Gama5 – 0CoritibaW
  • 15 SeptVasco DA Gama2 – 0Santa FeW
  • 12 SeptGremio1 – 2Vasco DA GamaW
H2H
Head to headBotafogo 4W · 3D · Vasco DA Gama 2W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 5 AprVasco DA Gama1 – 2Botafogo
  • 8 FebVasco DA Gama2 – 0Botafogo
  • 5 NovBotafogo3 – 0Vasco DA Gama
  • 12 SeptBotafogo1 – 1Vasco DA Gama
  • 28 AugVasco DA Gama1 – 1Botafogo
  • 12 JulVasco DA Gama0 – 2Botafogo
  • 23 FebVasco DA Gama1 – 0Botafogo
  • 6 NovBotafogo3 – 0Vasco DA Gama
  • 29 JunVasco DA Gama1 – 1Botafogo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.6% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Botafogo3.1
Draw3.6
Vasco DA Gama2.2

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Botafogo

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Vasco DA Gama

Chance43.1%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Vasco DA Gama at 2.2

BotafogoVasco DA Gama
Recent form36%64%
Attack32%68%
Defence44%56%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall42%58%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Botafogo scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Botafogo conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 8 Oct 2026

Botafogo meet Vasco DA Gama in the Brazil, Serie A on 8 October 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vasco DA Gama at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama match?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 8 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?

Vasco DA Gama is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.