Get Premium

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWed, 11 Nov 2026

Burkina Faso

2nd in table · 4 pts

LDDWL

Wed, 11 Nov 202618:00

vs

Not started

Mauritania

3rd in table · 3 pts

LDWWL

Pre-match win probability

63.8%Burkina Faso24%Draw12.2%Mauritania

Our prediction

1 · Burkina Faso

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania listed tip from the board.

Odds1.41
Confidence70.9%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burkina Faso 63.8%
  • Draw 24%
  • Mauritania 12.2%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Burkina FasoMauritania
Goals scored (avg)
1.21
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.3
Wins
11
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Burkina Faso3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 4 OctArgentina7 – 0Burkina FasoL
  • 28 SeptCentral African Republic0 – 1Burkina FasoW
  • 25 SeptBurkina Faso1 – 1BeninD
  • 9 JunBelarus2 – 2Burkina FasoD
  • 5 JunRussia3 – 0Burkina FasoL
  • 31 MarBurkina Faso1 – 1Guinea-BissauD
  • 28 MarBurkina Faso5 – 0Guinea-BissauW
  • 6 JanIvory Coast3 – 0Burkina FasoL
  • 31 DecSudan0 – 2Burkina FasoW
  • 28 DecAlgeria1 – 0Burkina FasoL
Mauritania2W 1D 4L in last 7
  • 29 SeptBenin2 – 1MauritaniaL
  • 24 SeptMauritania3 – 1Central African RepublicW
  • 8 JunNiger0 – 1MauritaniaW
  • 5 JunAngola1 – 1MauritaniaD
  • 28 MarArgentina2 – 1MauritaniaL
  • 25 NovMauritania0 – 2KuwaitL
  • 15 NovLibya1 – 0MauritaniaL
H2H
Head to headBurkina Faso 3W · 1D · Mauritania 2W · 1.3 goals a game
  • 13 AugMauritania1 – 0Burkina Faso
  • 16 JanBurkina Faso1 – 0Mauritania
  • 17 OctMauritania1 – 2Burkina Faso
  • 30 DecMauritania0 – 0Burkina Faso
  • 22 MarBurkina Faso1 – 0Mauritania
  • 8 SeptMauritania2 – 0Burkina Faso

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
1.5 goals33.2% · 1.3816.8% · 2.73
2.5 goals19.9% · 2.330.1% · 1.52

Both teams to score

Yes37.2%
No62.8%

Double chance

1X43.6%
1238%
X218.3%

Match result

Burkina Faso1.41
Draw3.75
Mauritania7.37

Both teams to score

Yes37.2% · 2.46
No62.8% · 1.46

1X

Chance43.6%
Odds1.02

12

Chance38%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance18.3%
Odds2.43

Burkina Faso

Chance63.8%
Odds1.41

Draw

Chance24%
Odds3.75

Mauritania

Chance12.2%
Odds7.37

First half result

Burkina Faso45.1% · 2
Draw42.7% · 2.11
Mauritania12.2% · 7.39

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.37

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.41

Burkina FasoMauritania
Recent form63%37%
Attack55%45%
Defence41%59%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head58%42%
Overall84%16%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Burkina Faso scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Burkina Faso conceded 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Wed, 11 Nov 2026

Burkina Faso meet Mauritania in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 11 November 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Burkina Faso at 1.41. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.52, about 60.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.46.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Burkina Faso vs Mauritania match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 11 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Burkina Faso is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.41. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.52.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.46. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.