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Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipWed, 2 Sept 2026

Burnley

22nd in table · 9 pts

WDLLD

Wed, 2 Sept 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Middlesbrough

1st in table · 28 pts

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

32.3%Burnley26%Draw41.7%Middlesbrough

Our prediction

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burnley 32.3%
  • Draw 26%
  • Middlesbrough 41.7%

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BurnleyMiddlesbrough
Goals scored (avg)
1.32.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.5
Wins
18
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Burnley1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctBurnley0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 24 OctLincoln4 – 1BurnleyL
  • 16 OctBurnley1 – 2WolvesL
  • 13 OctBurnley2 – 2CharltonD
  • 10 OctWatford0 – 4BurnleyW
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptSwansea3 – 1BurnleyL
  • 8 SeptWrexham1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 5 SeptBurnley1 – 2Bristol CityL
Middlesbrough6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctMiddlesbrough3 – 0CharltonW
  • 23 OctBolton1 – 5MiddlesbroughW
  • 17 OctMiddlesbrough2 – 2CardiffD
  • 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughW
  • 10 OctMiddlesbrough1 – 0WolvesW
  • 19 SeptBirmingham2 – 2MiddlesbroughD
  • 15 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 2MillwallD
  • 12 SeptMiddlesbrough4 – 3NorwichW
  • 8 SeptCrystal Palace3 – 0MiddlesbroughL
  • 5 SeptQPR0 – 1MiddlesbroughW
H2H
Head to headBurnley 4W · 4D · Middlesbrough 1W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 29 DecMiddlesbrough0 – 0Burnley
  • 6 DecBurnley1 – 1Middlesbrough
  • 7 AprMiddlesbrough1 – 2Burnley
  • 17 DecBurnley3 – 1Middlesbrough
  • 8 AprMiddlesbrough0 – 0Burnley
  • 26 DecBurnley1 – 0Middlesbrough
  • 19 AprBurnley1 – 1Middlesbrough
  • 9 JanMiddlesbrough1 – 2Burnley
  • 15 DecMiddlesbrough1 – 0Burnley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Burnley2.9
Draw3.6
Middlesbrough2.25

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Burnley

Chance32.3%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance26%
Odds3.6

Middlesbrough

Chance41.7%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Middlesbrough at 2.25

BurnleyMiddlesbrough
Recent form25%75%
Attack36%64%
Defence46%54%
Goals model36%64%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Burnley scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Burnley conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Wed, 2 Sept 2026

Burnley meet Middlesbrough in the England, Championship on 2 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Burnley vs Middlesbrough match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 2 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Burnley vs Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.