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Burundi vs Algeria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationTue, 29 Sept 2026

Burundi

LWWLL

Tue, 29 Sept 202614:00

2 : 2

Full time

Algeria

WDLWW

Pre-match win probability

8.3%Burundi18.3%Draw73.3%Algeria

Our prediction

Algeria

Algeria is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.25
Confidence73.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burundi 8.3%
  • Draw 18.3%
  • Algeria 73.3%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BurundiAlgeria
Goals scored (avg)
11.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Burundi2W 0D 6L in last 8
  • 25 SeptTogo1 – 0BurundiL
  • 26 MayMorocco5 – 0BurundiL
  • 31 MarBurundi4 – 0ChadW
  • 27 MarChad0 – 4BurundiW
  • 14 OctGabon2 – 0BurundiL
  • 9 OctBurundi0 – 1KenyaL
  • 9 SeptGambia2 – 0BurundiL
  • 5 SeptIvory Coast1 – 0BurundiL
Algeria5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 6 OctAlgeria2 – 1NigerW
  • 25 SeptAlgeria3 – 1ZambiaW
  • 3 JulSwitzerland2 – 0AlgeriaL
  • 28 JunAlgeria3 – 3AustriaD
  • 23 JunJordan1 – 2AlgeriaW
  • 17 JunArgentina3 – 0AlgeriaL
  • 11 JunBolivia0 – 4AlgeriaW
  • 3 JunNetherlands0 – 1AlgeriaW
  • 31 MarAlgeria0 – 0UruguayD
H2H
Head to headBurundi 0W · 0D · Algeria 2W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 9 JanBurundi0 – 4Algeria
  • 11 JunAlgeria1 – 0Burundi

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X23.3%
X276.7%

Match result

Burundi11
Draw5
Algeria1.25

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance23.3%
Odds3.4

X2

Chance76.7%
Odds1.03

Burundi

Chance8.3%
Odds11

Draw

Chance18.3%
Odds5

Algeria

Chance73.3%
Odds1.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Algeria at 1.25

BurundiAlgeria
Recent form26%74%
Attack37%63%
Defence45%55%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall10%90%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Burundi scored 1 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Burundi conceded 1.5 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 6 of those 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 8.

Burundi vs Algeria: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Burundi meet Algeria in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Algeria at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burundi vs Algeria FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Burundi vs Algeria match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Burundi vs Algeria?

Algeria is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.