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CA River Plate vs Club Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Copa UruguayThu, 3 Sept 2026

CA River Plate

WDLLD

Thu, 3 Sept 202619:30

2 : 3

Full time

Club Nacional

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

25.1%CA River Plate27.3%Draw47.6%Club Nacional

Our prediction

Club Nacional

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence47.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • CA River Plate 25.1%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Club Nacional 47.6%

Season statistics

Copa Uruguay · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CA River PlateClub Nacional
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

CA River Plate2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovCA River Plate1 – 1TacuaremboD
  • 24 OctCA River Plate1 – 2Uruguay MontevideoL
  • 18 OctPlaza Colonia2 – 1CA River PlateL
  • 14 OctBoston River0 – 0CA River PlateD
  • 10 OctCA River Plate3 – 1OrientalW
  • 4 OctLa Luz3 – 2CA River PlateL
  • 26 SeptCA River Plate3 – 0ColónW
  • 20 SeptCerrito1 – 1CA River PlateD
  • 16 SeptAlbion FC0 – 0CA River PlateD
  • 13 SeptCA River Plate0 – 1FenixL
Club Nacional7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 25 OctClub Nacional0 – 1Liverpool MontevideoL
  • 20 OctClub Nacional3 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoW
  • 16 OctClub Nacional3 – 0RentistasW
  • 11 OctCentral Espanol0 – 1Club NacionalW
  • 6 OctClub Nacional2 – 0Atletico TorqueW
  • 26 SeptCerro Largo0 – 2Club NacionalW
  • 20 SeptClub Nacional3 – 2Defensor SportingW
  • 16 SeptProgreso0 – 1Club NacionalW
  • 12 SeptWanderers1 – 1Club NacionalD
H2H
Head to headCA River Plate 0W · 4D · Club Nacional 5W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 30 AugCA River Plate0 – 3Club Nacional
  • 9 MarClub Nacional3 – 3CA River Plate
  • 18 AugCA River Plate3 – 3Club Nacional
  • 17 FebClub Nacional2 – 1CA River Plate
  • 5 NovCA River Plate0 – 3Club Nacional
  • 26 MarClub Nacional3 – 0CA River Plate
  • 17 SeptCA River Plate1 – 1Club Nacional
  • 18 JunClub Nacional3 – 0CA River Plate
  • 17 AprClub Nacional1 – 1CA River Plate

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X41.6%
X258.4%

Match result

CA River Plate3.7
Draw3.4
Club Nacional1.95

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

CA River Plate

Chance25.1%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.4

Club Nacional

Chance47.6%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Club Nacional at 1.95

CA River PlateClub Nacional
Recent form31%69%
Attack40%60%
Defence45%55%
Goals model40%60%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall35%65%

Trends

Trend · Copa Uruguay

CA River Plate scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

CA River Plate conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

CA River Plate vs Club Nacional: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Thu, 3 Sept 2026

CA River Plate meet Club Nacional in the Uruguay, Copa Uruguay on 3 September 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Club Nacional at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

CA River Plate vs Club Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is the CA River Plate vs Club Nacional match?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 3 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for CA River Plate vs Club Nacional?

Club Nacional is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.