Get Premium

Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipFri, 11 Sept 2026

Caerau (Ely)

3rd in table · 22 pts

WWWLW

Fri, 11 Sept 202619:45

3 : 0

Full time

llanelli AFC

16th in table · 2 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

72.1%Caerau (Ely)15%Draw12.9%llanelli AFC

Our prediction

Caerau (Ely)

Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.25
Confidence72.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caerau (Ely) 72.1%
  • Draw 15%
  • llanelli AFC 12.9%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFC
Goals scored (avg)
20.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.43.4
Wins
70
Played
1213

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Caerau (Ely)6W 0D 3L in last 9
  • 30 OctCaerphilly Athletic0 – 1Caerau (Ely)W
  • 23 OctCaerau (Ely)0 – 2Llantwit MajorL
  • 16 OctCaerau (Ely)6 – 0llanelli AFCW
  • 10 OctAberystwyth Town0 – 1Caerau (Ely)W
  • 2 OctCaerau (Ely)2 – 0Afan LidoW
  • 26 SeptCardiff Draconians1 – 3Caerau (Ely)W
  • 31 AugCaerau (Ely)3 – 2Treowen StarsW
  • 28 AugBaglan Dragons3 – 1Caerau (Ely)L
  • 21 AugCaerau (Ely)1 – 5Swansea UniversityL
llanelli AFC0W 1D 8L in last 9
  • 30 OctPontypridd Town4 – 0llanelli AFCL
  • 23 Octllanelli AFC0 – 3Afan LidoL
  • 16 OctCaerau (Ely)6 – 0llanelli AFCL
  • 10 OctYnyshir Albions6 – 2llanelli AFCL
  • 2 Octllanelli AFC1 – 2Baglan DragonsL
  • 26 SeptLlantwit Major2 – 0llanelli AFCL
  • 4 Septllanelli AFC0 – 2Treowen StarsL
  • 31 AugAberystwyth Town4 – 0llanelli AFCL
  • 28 Augllanelli AFC2 – 2Carmarthen TownD
H2H
Head to headCaerau (Ely) 1W · 0D · llanelli AFC 5W · 4.2 goals a game
  • 16 OctCaerau (Ely)6 – 0llanelli AFC
  • 7 Marllanelli AFC3 – 1Caerau (Ely)
  • 11 OctCaerau (Ely)1 – 2llanelli AFC
  • 3 Novllanelli AFC4 – 0Caerau (Ely)
  • 27 OctCaerau (Ely)1 – 2llanelli AFC
  • 7 SeptCaerau (Ely)2 – 3llanelli AFC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals68.8% · 1.3631.2% · 3

Double chance

1X76.2%
X223.8%

Match result

Caerau (Ely)1.25
Draw6
llanelli AFC7

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance76.2%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance23.8%
Odds3.4

Caerau (Ely)

Chance72.1%
Odds1.25

Draw

Chance15%
Odds6

llanelli AFC

Chance12.9%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Caerau (Ely) at 1.25

Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFC
Recent form95%5%
Attack77%23%
Defence94%6%
Goals model77%23%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall85%15%

Trends

Trend · FAW Championship

Caerau (Ely) scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · FAW Championship

Caerau (Ely) conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · FAW Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · FAW Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC: prediction & preview

Wales · FAW Championship · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Caerau (Ely) meet llanelli AFC in the Wales, FAW Championship on 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caerau (Ely) at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 72.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 11 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC?

Caerau (Ely) is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 72.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.