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Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipFri, 23 Oct 2026

Caerau (Ely)

WWWWW

Fri, 23 Oct 202619:45

0 : 2

Full time

Llantwit Major

LDLWW

Pre-match win probability

69.1%Caerau (Ely)17.1%Draw13.8%Llantwit Major

Our prediction

1 · Caerau (Ely)

Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence69.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caerau (Ely) 69.1%
  • Draw 17.1%
  • Llantwit Major 13.8%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Caerau (Ely)Llantwit Major
Goals scored (avg)
2.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Caerau (Ely)7W 0D 2L in last 9
  • 30 OctCaerphilly Athletic0 – 1Caerau (Ely)W
  • 16 OctCaerau (Ely)6 – 0llanelli AFCW
  • 10 OctAberystwyth Town0 – 1Caerau (Ely)W
  • 2 OctCaerau (Ely)2 – 0Afan LidoW
  • 26 SeptCardiff Draconians1 – 3Caerau (Ely)W
  • 11 SeptCaerau (Ely)3 – 0llanelli AFCW
  • 31 AugCaerau (Ely)3 – 2Treowen StarsW
  • 28 AugBaglan Dragons3 – 1Caerau (Ely)L
  • 21 AugCaerau (Ely)1 – 5Swansea UniversityL
Llantwit Major0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headCaerau (Ely) 3W · 2D · Llantwit Major 2W · 3.7 goals a game
    • 28 MarLlantwit Major1 – 4Caerau (Ely)
    • 12 SeptCaerau (Ely)0 – 0Llantwit Major
    • 5 AprLlantwit Major1 – 0Caerau (Ely)
    • 7 FebCaerau (Ely)2 – 4Llantwit Major
    • 2 FebCaerau (Ely)3 – 2Llantwit Major
    • 30 SeptLlantwit Major1 – 4Caerau (Ely)
    • 12 OctCaerau (Ely)2 – 2Llantwit Major

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals68.8% · 1.3631.2% · 3

    Double chance

    1X73.7%
    X226.3%

    Match result

    Caerau (Ely)1.3
    Draw5.25
    Llantwit Major6.5

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance73.7%
    Odds1.07

    X2

    Chance26.3%
    Odds3

    Caerau (Ely)

    Chance69.1%
    Odds1.3

    Draw

    Chance17.1%
    Odds5.25

    Llantwit Major

    Chance13.8%
    Odds6.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1 at 1.3

    Caerau (Ely)Llantwit Major
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack70%30%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model70%30%
    Head-to-head57%43%
    Overall83%17%

    Trends

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Caerau (Ely) scored 2.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Caerau (Ely) conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

    Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major: prediction & preview

    Wales · FAW Championship · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

    Caerau (Ely) meet Llantwit Major in the Wales, FAW Championship on 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caerau (Ely) at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 69.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major match?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?

    Caerau (Ely) is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 69.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.