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Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AMon, 7 Sept 2026

Cagliari

11th in table · 13 pts

DLLLL

Mon, 7 Sept 202617:30

1 : 0

Full time

Lecce

14th in table · 9 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

46.4%Cagliari29.8%Draw23.8%Lecce

Our prediction

X2 · Cagliari

Cagliari vs Lecce listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cagliari 46.4%
  • Draw 29.8%
  • Lecce 23.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CagliariLecce
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.92.2
Wins
43
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cagliari2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovLazio2 – 1CagliariL
  • 27 OctAS Roma4 – 2CagliariL
  • 24 OctCagliari0 – 2BolognaL
  • 19 OctMonza4 – 0CagliariL
  • 11 OctCagliari1 – 1JuventusD
  • 19 SeptUdinese0 – 1CagliariW
  • 12 SeptAtalanta1 – 2CagliariW
  • 3 SeptCagliari1 – 2Hellas VeronaL
  • 30 AugCagliari0 – 1InterL
Lecce3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovLecce1 – 2GenoaL
  • 29 OctFrosinone5 – 1LecceL
  • 25 OctLecce0 – 2JuventusL
  • 18 OctUdinese0 – 3LecceW
  • 11 OctLecce1 – 2BolognaL
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceL
  • 13 SeptLecce3 – 2MonzaW
  • 31 AugLecce0 – 4AS RomaL
  • 23 AugVenezia0 – 2LecceW
H2H
Head to headCagliari 2W · 4D · Lecce 3W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 16 FebCagliari0 – 2Lecce
  • 19 SeptLecce1 – 2Cagliari
  • 19 JanCagliari4 – 1Lecce
  • 31 AugLecce1 – 0Cagliari
  • 5 MayCagliari1 – 1Lecce
  • 6 JanLecce1 – 1Cagliari
  • 12 JulCagliari0 – 0Lecce
  • 25 NovLecce2 – 2Cagliari
  • 26 FebCagliari1 – 2Lecce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X57.6%
X242.4%

Match result

Cagliari2.05
Draw3.2
Lecce4

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance57.6%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.4%
Odds1.7

Cagliari

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance29.8%
Odds3.2

Lecce

Chance23.8%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.7

CagliariLecce
Recent form44%56%
Attack43%57%
Defence58%42%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall66%34%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Cagliari scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Cagliari conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Cagliari vs Lecce: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Mon, 7 Sept 2026

Cagliari meet Lecce in the Italy, Serie A on 7 September 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cagliari at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cagliari vs Lecce FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Cagliari vs Lecce match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 7 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Cagliari vs Lecce?

Cagliari is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.