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Carlisle vs Southend Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National LeagueSat, 12 Sept 2026

Carlisle

LWDWD

Sat, 12 Sept 202617:30

2 : 2

Full time

Southend

WDLWW

Pre-match win probability

41.7%Carlisle25.5%Draw32.8%Southend

Our prediction

1X · Carlisle

Carlisle vs Southend listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Carlisle 41.7%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Southend 32.8%

Season statistics

National League · highlighted side is stronger

CarlisleSouthend

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Carlisle0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Southend0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headCarlisle 3W · 2D · Southend 1W · 2.5 goals a game
      • 7 MarCarlisle2 – 2Southend
      • 8 NovSouthend1 – 2Carlisle
      • 3 AprSouthend0 – 2Carlisle
      • 19 SeptCarlisle2 – 0Southend
      • 28 FebSouthend2 – 0Carlisle
      • 23 AugCarlisle1 – 1Southend

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
      1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
      2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
      3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes60.9%
      No39.1%

      Double chance

      1X53.6%
      X246.4%

      Match result

      Carlisle2.2
      Draw3.6
      Southend2.8

      Both teams to score

      Yes60.9% · 1.53
      No39.1% · 2.38

      1X

      Chance53.6%
      Odds1.36

      X2

      Chance46.4%
      Odds1.57

      Carlisle

      Chance41.7%
      Odds2.2

      Draw

      Chance25.5%
      Odds3.6

      Southend

      Chance32.8%
      Odds2.8

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: 1X at 1.36

      CarlisleSouthend
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head67%33%
      Overall56%44%

      Carlisle vs Southend: prediction & preview

      England · National League · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

      Carlisle meet Southend in the England, National League on 12 September 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Carlisle at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Carlisle vs Southend FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Carlisle vs Southend match?

      Kickoff is 17:30 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Carlisle vs Southend?

      Carlisle is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.