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Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 17 Aug 2026

Casa Pia

17th in table · 7 pts

WLWWL

Mon, 17 Aug 202620:15

0 : 7

Full time

Benfica

2nd in table · 22 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

7.2%Casa Pia14.9%Draw77.9%Benfica

Our prediction

2 · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence77.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 7.2%
  • Draw 14.9%
  • Benfica 77.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaBenfica
Goals scored (avg)
0.72.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.20.8
Wins
27
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Casa Pia3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 30 OctCasa Pia0 – 2Sporting CPL
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
  • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
  • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoL
  • 6 SeptVitória SC0 – 0Casa PiaD
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 24 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Casa PiaL
Benfica9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 29 OctBenfica4 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 15 OctBenfica4 – 1CelticW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaW
  • 13 SeptBenfica3 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaW
  • 5 SeptMaritimo0 – 3BenficaW
H2H
Head to headCasa Pia 1W · 3D · Benfica 4W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 6 AprCasa Pia1 – 1Benfica
  • 9 NovBenfica2 – 2Casa Pia
  • 25 JanCasa Pia3 – 1Benfica
  • 17 AugBenfica3 – 0Casa Pia
  • 17 MarCasa Pia0 – 1Benfica
  • 28 OctBenfica1 – 1Casa Pia
  • 4 FebBenfica3 – 0Casa Pia
  • 13 AugCasa Pia0 – 1Benfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X19.4%
X280.6%

Match result

Casa Pia13
Draw6.25
Benfica1.2

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance19.4%
Odds4.33

X2

Chance80.6%
Odds1.04

Casa Pia

Chance7.2%
Odds13

Draw

Chance14.9%
Odds6.25

Benfica

Chance77.9%
Odds1.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.2

Casa PiaBenfica
Recent form27%73%
Attack19%81%
Defence45%55%
Goals model19%81%
Head-to-head31%69%
Overall8%92%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Casa Pia vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 17 Aug 2026

Casa Pia meet Benfica in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 17 August 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–7.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Casa Pia vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Casa Pia vs Benfica match?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 17 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Casa Pia vs Benfica?

Benfica is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.