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Central Espanol vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 8 Aug 2026

Central Espanol

LLLLW

Sat, 8 Aug 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Progreso

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

39%Central Espanol28.2%Draw32.8%Progreso

Our prediction

1X · Central Espanol

Central Espanol vs Progreso listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Central Espanol 39%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Progreso 32.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Central EspanolProgreso
Goals scored (avg)
0.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Central Espanol1W 2D 7L in last 10
  • 31 OctCerro1 – 2Central EspanolW
  • 24 OctCentral Espanol1 – 3Albion FCL
  • 18 OctDanubio1 – 0Central EspanolL
  • 15 OctCentral Espanol0 – 6DanubioL
  • 11 OctCentral Espanol0 – 1Club NacionalL
  • 3 OctDeportivo Maldonado3 – 0Central EspanolL
  • 27 SeptCentral Espanol1 – 2Liverpool MontevideoL
  • 21 SeptCentral Espanol1 – 4Atletico TorqueL
  • 17 SeptCentral Espanol1 – 1OrientalD
  • 13 SeptCerro Largo0 – 0Central EspanolD
Progreso0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headCentral Espanol 4W · 2D · Progreso 3W · 2 goals a game
    • 7 FebProgreso0 – 3Central Espanol
    • 25 SeptCentral Espanol1 – 1Progreso
    • 25 JunProgreso1 – 1Central Espanol
    • 9 DecProgreso2 – 0Central Espanol
    • 6 DecCentral Espanol1 – 0Progreso
    • 22 NovProgreso2 – 0Central Espanol
    • 5 JulCentral Espanol1 – 0Progreso
    • 17 SeptCentral Espanol2 – 0Progreso
    • 14 MayCentral Espanol1 – 2Progreso

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
    1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
    2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
    3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3%
    No55.7%

    Double chance

    1X52.9%
    X247.1%

    Match result

    Central Espanol2.35
    Draw3.25
    Progreso2.8

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3% · 2.1
    No55.7% · 1.67

    1X

    Chance52.9%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance47.1%
    Odds1.57

    Central Espanol

    Chance39%
    Odds2.35

    Draw

    Chance28.2%
    Odds3.25

    Progreso

    Chance32.8%
    Odds2.8

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.4

    Central EspanolProgreso
    Recent form83%17%
    Attack37%63%
    Defence44%56%
    Goals model37%63%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall54%46%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Central Espanol scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Central Espanol conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Central Espanol vs Progreso: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

    Central Espanol meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Central Espanol at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Central Espanol vs Progreso FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Central Espanol vs Progreso match?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Central Espanol vs Progreso?

    Central Espanol is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.