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Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Copa UruguayWed, 2 Sept 2026

Cerrito

LWDLD

Wed, 2 Sept 202619:00

0 : 2

Full time

Deportivo Maldonado

DWLWW

Pre-match win probability

31.3%Cerrito28.4%Draw40.3%Deportivo Maldonado

Our prediction

X2 · Cerrito

Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence40.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerrito 31.3%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Deportivo Maldonado 40.3%

Season statistics

Copa Uruguay · highlighted side is stronger

CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
Goals scored (avg)
–2.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cerrito0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Deportivo Maldonado7W 1D 2L in last 10
    • 29 OctPorongos0 – 4Deportivo MaldonadoW
    • 24 OctDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1DanubioW
    • 20 OctClub Nacional3 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoL
    • 15 OctDeportivo Maldonado4 – 1Albion FCW
    • 10 OctDeportivo Maldonado1 – 1Liverpool MontevideoD
    • 3 OctDeportivo Maldonado3 – 0Central EspanolW
    • 27 SeptAtletico Torque0 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoW
    • 24 SeptCerro1 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoW
    • 19 SeptDeportivo Maldonado2 – 0Cerro LargoW
    • 13 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0Deportivo MaldonadoL
    H2H
    Head to headCerrito 2W · 2D · Deportivo Maldonado 5W · 1.7 goals a game
    • 19 OctCerrito0 – 1Deportivo Maldonado
    • 27 JulDeportivo Maldonado1 – 0Cerrito
    • 11 AugDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1Cerrito
    • 21 FebCerrito0 – 3Deportivo Maldonado
    • 25 NovDeportivo Maldonado0 – 1Cerrito
    • 16 AugCerrito0 – 0Deportivo Maldonado
    • 5 OctDeportivo Maldonado1 – 0Cerrito
    • 2 JulCerrito2 – 1Deportivo Maldonado
    • 6 OctDeportivo Maldonado1 – 1Cerrito

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
    1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
    2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
    3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes39.1%
    No60.9%

    Double chance

    1X40.4%
    X259.6%

    Match result

    Cerrito2.9
    Draw3.2
    Deportivo Maldonado2.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes39.1% · 2.38
    No60.9% · 1.53

    1X

    Chance40.4%
    Odds1.8

    X2

    Chance59.6%
    Odds1.22

    Cerrito

    Chance31.3%
    Odds2.9

    Draw

    Chance28.4%
    Odds3.2

    Deportivo Maldonado

    Chance40.3%
    Odds2.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 1.22

    CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
    Recent form4%96%
    Attack31%69%
    Defence31%69%
    Goals model31%69%
    Head-to-head33%67%
    Overall44%56%

    Trends

    Trend · Copa Uruguay

    Deportivo Maldonado scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Copa Uruguay

    Deportivo Maldonado conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Copa Uruguay

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Copa Uruguay

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Wed, 2 Sept 2026

    Cerrito meet Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay, Copa Uruguay on 2 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Deportivo Maldonado at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado match?

    Kickoff is 19:00 on 2 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado?

    Deportivo Maldonado is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.