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Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Copa UruguayWed, 9 Sept 2026

Cerro Largo

Wed, 9 Sept 202623:45

1 : 1

Half time

Defensor Sporting

LLLDW

Pre-match win probability

32.7%Cerro Largo31.3%Draw36%Defensor Sporting

Our prediction

Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence36%
ResultLive
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerro Largo 32.7%
  • Draw 31.3%
  • Defensor Sporting 36%

Season statistics

Copa Uruguay · highlighted side is stronger

Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
Goals scored (avg)
–1.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cerro Largo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Defensor Sporting3W 1D 5L in last 9
    • 1 NovProgreso0 – 2Defensor SportingW
    • 24 OctDefensor Sporting3 – 3Racing MontevideoD
    • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
    • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroL
    • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
    • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
    • 27 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0DanubioW
    • 20 SeptClub Nacional3 – 2Defensor SportingL
    • 13 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0Deportivo MaldonadoW
    H2H
    Head to headCerro Largo 2W · 3D · Defensor Sporting 4W · 2.2 goals a game
    • 22 AugCerro Largo1 – 1Defensor Sporting
    • 13 JulCerro Largo1 – 1Defensor Sporting
    • 21 FebDefensor Sporting1 – 0Cerro Largo
    • 13 SeptCerro Largo1 – 0Defensor Sporting
    • 25 MayDefensor Sporting3 – 2Cerro Largo
    • 23 MarDefensor Sporting0 – 0Cerro Largo
    • 27 NovCerro Largo3 – 0Defensor Sporting
    • 26 MayDefensor Sporting3 – 1Cerro Largo
    • 21 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 0Cerro Largo

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
    1.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
    2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.1% · 1.44
    3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.17

    Both teams to score

    Yes39.1%
    No60.9%

    Double chance

    1X48.6%
    X251.4%

    Match result

    Cerro Largo2.75
    Draw2.88
    Defensor Sporting2.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes39.1% · 2.38
    No60.9% · 1.53

    1X

    Chance48.6%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance51.4%
    Odds1.36

    Cerro Largo

    Chance32.7%
    Odds2.75

    Draw

    Chance31.3%
    Odds2.88

    Defensor Sporting

    Chance36%
    Odds2.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Defensor Sporting at 2.5

    Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
    Recent form9%91%
    Attack42%58%
    Defence42%58%
    Goals model42%58%
    Head-to-head39%61%
    Overall48%52%

    Trends

    Trend · Copa Uruguay

    Defensor Sporting scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Copa Uruguay

    Defensor Sporting conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Copa Uruguay

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Copa Uruguay

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Wed, 9 Sept 2026

    Cerro Largo meet Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay, Copa Uruguay on 9 September 2026 at 23:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Defensor Sporting at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting match?

    Kickoff is 23:45 on 9 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?

    Defensor Sporting is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 36%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.