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Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónFri, 13 Nov 2026

Cerro Largo

12th in table · 37 pts

LDLWL

Fri, 13 Nov 202600:00

vs

Not started

Progreso

15th in table · 35 pts

LDWWL

Pre-match win probability

50.1%Cerro Largo27%Draw22.9%Progreso

Our prediction

Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.83
Confidence50.1%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerro Largo 50.1%
  • Draw 27%
  • Progreso 22.9%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Cerro LargoProgreso
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.2
Wins
910
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cerro Largo2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 31 OctRacing Montevideo3 – 1Cerro LargoL
  • 25 OctCerro Largo2 – 0Boston RiverW
  • 21 OctLiverpool Montevideo1 – 0Cerro LargoL
  • 16 OctCerro1 – 1Cerro LargoD
  • 11 OctCerro Largo0 – 1Albion FCL
  • 4 OctDanubio2 – 1Cerro LargoL
  • 30 SeptCerro Largo1 – 0RentistasW
  • 26 SeptCerro Largo0 – 2Club NacionalL
  • 19 SeptDeportivo Maldonado2 – 0Cerro LargoL
  • 13 SeptCerro Largo0 – 0Central EspanolD
Progreso5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovProgreso0 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoW
  • 17 OctProgreso2 – 0JuventudW
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoL
  • 26 SeptProgreso2 – 1Racing MontevideoW
  • 19 SeptBoston River1 – 2ProgresoW
  • 16 SeptProgreso0 – 1Club NacionalL
  • 13 SeptProgreso1 – 3CerroL
  • 7 SeptAlbion FC0 – 1ProgresoW
H2H
Head to headCerro Largo 8W · 1D · Progreso 1W · 1.9 goals a game
  • 3 MayProgreso0 – 1Cerro Largo
  • 9 AugProgreso1 – 2Cerro Largo
  • 7 FebCerro Largo4 – 1Progreso
  • 30 NovCerro Largo2 – 1Progreso
  • 4 JunProgreso0 – 1Cerro Largo
  • 17 OctCerro Largo1 – 0Progreso
  • 19 JunProgreso0 – 0Cerro Largo
  • 14 MarProgreso1 – 0Cerro Largo
  • 12 SeptProgreso1 – 2Cerro Largo
  • 21 NovProgreso0 – 1Cerro Largo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48.9%
No51.1%

Double chance

1X38.4%
1237.5%
X224%

Match result

Cerro Largo1.83
Draw3.4
Progreso4

Both teams to score

Yes48.9% · 1.91
No51.1% · 1.83

1X

Chance38.4%
Odds1.22

12

Chance37.5%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance24%
Odds1.95

Cerro Largo

Chance50.1%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.4

Progreso

Chance22.9%
Odds4

First half result

Cerro Largo38.9% · 2.3
Draw41.6% · 2.15
Progreso19.5% · 4.6

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.36

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Cerro Largo at 1.83

Cerro LargoProgreso
Recent form33%67%
Attack33%67%
Defence50%50%
Goals model33%67%
Head-to-head85%15%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Cerro Largo scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Cerro Largo conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Cerro Largo vs Progreso: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Fri, 13 Nov 2026

Cerro Largo meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 13 November 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cerro Largo at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cerro Largo vs Progreso FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Cerro Largo vs Progreso match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 13 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

Cerro Largo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.