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Cerro vs Cerrito Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Copa UruguayThu, 10 Sept 2026

Cerro

LWDLL

Thu, 10 Sept 202620:00

0 : 2

Full time

Cerrito

DWLDD

Pre-match win probability

49.1%Cerro27.5%Draw23.3%Cerrito

Our prediction

1X · Cerro

Cerro vs Cerrito listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence49.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerro 49.1%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Cerrito 23.3%

Season statistics

Copa Uruguay · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CerroCerrito
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cerro2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctCerro1 – 2Central EspanolL
  • 25 OctAtletico Torque3 – 1CerroL
  • 16 OctCerro1 – 1Cerro LargoD
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroW
  • 4 OctCerro0 – 2WanderersL
  • 27 SeptJuventud0 – 0CerroD
  • 24 SeptCerro1 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoL
  • 19 SeptCerro1 – 2PenarolL
  • 13 SeptProgreso1 – 3CerroW
Cerrito3W 5D 2L in last 10
  • 31 OctFenix1 – 1CerritoD
  • 25 OctCerrito2 – 2RentistasD
  • 18 OctMiramar1 – 0CerritoL
  • 10 OctCerrito2 – 1TacuaremboW
  • 7 OctCerrito2 – 2WanderersD
  • 4 OctPlaza Colonia1 – 3CerritoW
  • 27 SeptCerrito1 – 2La LuzL
  • 24 SeptWanderers1 – 3CerritoW
  • 20 SeptCerrito1 – 1CA River PlateD
  • 13 SeptAtenas0 – 0CerritoD
H2H
Head to headCerro 1W · 0D · Cerrito 0W · 5 goals a game
  • 18 FebCerrito1 – 4Cerro

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X57.1%
X242.9%

Match result

Cerro1.85
Draw3.3
Cerrito3.9

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance57.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance42.9%
Odds1.73

Cerro

Chance49.1%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance27.5%
Odds3.3

Cerrito

Chance23.3%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.3

CerroCerrito
Recent form36%64%
Attack44%56%
Defence42%58%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Cerro scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Cerro conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Cerro vs Cerrito: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Thu, 10 Sept 2026

Cerro meet Cerrito in the Uruguay, Copa Uruguay on 10 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cerro at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cerro vs Cerrito FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Cerro vs Cerrito match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 10 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Cerro vs Cerrito?

Cerro is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.