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Concarneau vs Bastia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Concarneau

WDWWD

Sat, 17 Oct 202613:45

1 : 1

Full time

Bastia

DLDWL

Pre-match win probability

47.1%Concarneau27.2%Draw25.7%Bastia

Our prediction

X2 · Concarneau

Concarneau vs Bastia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence47.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Concarneau 47.1%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Bastia 25.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

ConcarneauBastia

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Concarneau0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Bastia0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headConcarneau 0W · 4D · Bastia 1W · 2.8 goals a game
      • 23 AprBastia2 – 0Concarneau
      • 5 AugConcarneau0 – 0Bastia
      • 5 MarBastia1 – 1Concarneau
      • 2 OctConcarneau1 – 1Bastia
      • 5 JanSC Bastia4 – 4Concarneau

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
      1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
      2.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
      3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

      Both teams to score

      Yes42.4%
      No57.6%

      Double chance

      1X58.6%
      X241.4%

      Match result

      Concarneau1.91
      Draw3.3
      Bastia3.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes42.4% · 2.2
      No57.6% · 1.62

      1X

      Chance58.6%
      Odds1.22

      X2

      Chance41.4%
      Odds1.73

      Concarneau

      Chance47.1%
      Odds1.91

      Draw

      Chance27.2%
      Odds3.3

      Bastia

      Chance25.7%
      Odds3.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: X2 at 1.73

      ConcarneauBastia
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head40%60%
      Overall65%35%

      Concarneau vs Bastia: prediction & preview

      France · Ligue 3 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

      Concarneau meet Bastia in the France, Ligue 3 on 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Concarneau at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Concarneau vs Bastia FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Concarneau vs Bastia match?

      Kickoff is 13:45 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Concarneau vs Bastia?

      Concarneau is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.