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Corinthians vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 20 Sept 2026

Corinthians

17th in table · 36 pts

LLDLW

Sun, 20 Sept 202620:00

1 : 3

Full time

Fluminense

4th in table · 54 pts

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

45.3%Corinthians29.7%Draw25%Fluminense

Our prediction

2 · Corinthians

Corinthians vs Fluminense listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Corinthians 45.3%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Fluminense 25%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CorinthiansFluminense
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.4
Wins
915
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Corinthians1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctCorinthians2 – 0MirassolW
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansL
  • 20 OctCorinthians1 – 1VitoriaD
  • 11 OctPalmeiras4 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 7 OctInternacional2 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 17 SeptCorinthians0 – 1Estudiantes L.P.L
  • 13 SeptFlamengo2 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 10 SeptEstudiantes L.P.1 – 1CorinthiansD
  • 6 SeptCorinthians1 – 2Chapecoense-scL
Fluminense3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 28 OctFluminense2 – 1InternacionalW
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseW
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseL
  • 9 OctFluminense4 – 0CoritibaW
  • 15 SeptPlatense2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 12 SeptAtletico-MG3 – 1FluminenseL
H2H
Head to headCorinthians 4W · 2D · Fluminense 3W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 2 AprFluminense3 – 1Corinthians
  • 14 SeptFluminense0 – 1Corinthians
  • 16 AprCorinthians0 – 2Fluminense
  • 18 AugFluminense0 – 0Corinthians
  • 28 AprCorinthians3 – 0Fluminense
  • 20 OctFluminense3 – 3Corinthians
  • 28 MayCorinthians2 – 0Fluminense
  • 27 OctCorinthians0 – 2Fluminense
  • 16 SeptCorinthians3 – 0Fluminense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.4% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X57.6%
X242.4%

Match result

Corinthians2.1
Draw3.2
Fluminense3.8

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance57.6%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.4%
Odds1.7

Corinthians

Chance45.3%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Fluminense

Chance25%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.8

CorinthiansFluminense
Recent form36%64%
Attack46%54%
Defence43%57%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Corinthians scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Corinthians conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Corinthians vs Fluminense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Corinthians meet Fluminense in the Brazil, Serie A on 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Corinthians at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Corinthians vs Fluminense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Corinthians vs Fluminense match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Corinthians vs Fluminense?

Corinthians is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.